NBA Player Props CLV: 91 Beat / 12 Tied / 41 Lost
ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig
Posted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 3 games)Settled / Live Release · Full Dossier Unlocked

Khaman Maluach Rebounds Prop (Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder, ): Fair Line 9.0 vs 8.5 Market

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (ET)

ProphetX: Over 8.5 (+111)Modeled Fair Line: 9.0
Release & Line
OVER 8.5 (+111)
DraftKings
Modeled Fair Line
9.0
0.5 Pt Delta
Posted Line Drift
8.5 → 8.5 (0.0)
Last 3 Active Games
Matchup (ET)
PHX @ OKC
NBA Props Lane CLV
91 / 12 / 41
Beat / Tied / Lost

Sportsbook Posted Rebounds Line Trajectory (Last 3 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted rebounds total each game vs. WAGERBIRD Modeled Fair Line.

Posted Book Line WAGERBIRD Fair (9.0)
Across the last 3 active games (Oct 21 to Oct 26), Khaman Maluach's posted rebounds line has held net flat at 8.5. WAGERBIRD's modeled fair line for PHX @ OKC is 9.0.10.59.99.38.78.17.5WB FAIR LINE: 9.08.59.58.5Oct 21PHX @ POROct 24GSW @ PHXOct 26PHX @ OKC

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 3 active games (Oct 21 to Oct 26), Khaman Maluach's posted rebounds line has held net flat at 8.5. WAGERBIRD's modeled fair line for PHX @ OKC is 9.0.

3-Game Posted Rebounds Ledger (Khaman Maluach)

America/New_York (ET)
Date (ET)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
PHX @ POR8.5 (+115)—6Under
GSW @ PHX9.5 (+110)+1.09Under
PHX @ OKC8.5 (+111)-1.07Under

Canonical pre-game posted line across 4 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Compare Licensed Partner Books: Execute or compare live quotes and prediction markets (Kalshi code WBIRD1).
Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production3-Game Window

Khaman Maluach Rebounds Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted 0.0 vs. -1.2 actual output delta (-1.2 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-1.2Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0
Window Open Line
8.5
Current Posted Line
8.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
7.3
Actual Output Delta
-1.2
Modeled Fair Line
9.0
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Khaman Maluach Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 3-game Posted Rebounds Line vs Actual Box-Score Output1156Oct 21@ POR9Oct 24vs GSW7Oct 26@ OKC
Game (ET)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 21 · @ POR8.5—6-2.5
Oct 24 · vs GSW9.5+1.09-0.5
Oct 26 · @ OKC8.5-1.07-1.5

WAGERBIRD Write-Up · Khaman Maluach Rebounds (Over 8.5)

Full Dossier Unlocked
Write-Up Thesis

A longer center workload and demonstrated rebounding activity give Maluach a direct path to eight boards.

01 · Fundamental Driver

Interior minutes are available

28 MIN · LATEST COMPLETED GAME — Maluach played 28 minutes in Phoenix's latest completed game. With Mark Williams Out and Ighodaro Doubtful, another substantial center shift is available without requiring a new offensive role.

02 · Fundamental Driver

Rebounding follows his floor time

15 REB · 45 MIN — He collected six rebounds in the opener and nine in the following completed game, totaling 15 in 45 minutes. Staying near the basket for defensive possessions and second-chance opportunities converts playing time into repeatable rebounding chances.

Red Team · Counter-Case & Risk Factors

Thesis Invalidation Risks

Early fouls against penetrating guards can shorten Maluach's shift. A larger contribution from Ighodaro, a smaller closing lineup or unusually accurate opposing shooting would also reduce his chances on the glass.

Settlement Rule: CASHES KHAMAN MALUACH OVER 7.5 REBOUNDS WITH 8 OR MORE REBOUNDS; NO PUSH IS POSSIBLE.

WAGERBIRD Nucleus Drift · Team Prop Signal

PHX @ OKC · Phoenix Suns Points WAGERBIRD Nucleus Drift ()

Tracks game-by-game pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Phoenix Suns's 5 primary contributors.

PHX Nucleus Drift3 of 5 Core Props Adjusted DownMarket Suppressing Team Scoring Ceiling — Implied Team Total Pressure: Bearish
Phoenix Suns Contributor
Nov 5
vs ORL
Nov 7
vs HOU
Nov 9
vs SAS
Nov 10
vs LAC
Game-Over-Game MovePosted Line TrendTrend Badge
Devin Booker
PHX · Points
24.523.524.526.5-2.0Devin Booker posted line trend from 24.5 to 26.5Trending Down ↓
Dillon Brooks
PHX · Points
16.515.514.515.5-1.0Dillon Brooks posted line trend from 16.5 to 15.5Trending Down ↓
Miles Bridges
PHX · Points
16.515.514.516.50.0Miles Bridges posted line trend from 16.5 to 16.5Flat →
Jalen Green
PHX · Points
16.515.514.515.5-4.0Jalen Green posted line trend from 16.5 to 15.5Trending Down ↓
Collin Gillespie
PHX · Points
9.58.58.59.5+1.0Collin Gillespie posted line trend from 9.5 to 9.5Trending Up ↑
Phoenix Suns (PHX)3 of 5 Core Props Adjusted Down

Market Suppressing Team Scoring Ceiling — Implied Team Total Pressure: Bearish

Oklahoma City Thunder (OKC)5 of 5 Core Props Adjusted Up

Market Expanding Team Scoring Ceiling — Implied Team Total Pressure: Bullish

Connected Matchup Hubs: Explore full game market consensus and team dossiers.
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Khaman Maluach Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Khaman Maluach prop write-up.

Khaman Maluach CLV Counts
1 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
1 Settled CLV Receipt
Date (ET)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 26PHX @ OKCReboundsOver 7.5 (-128) · ProphetX8.57BeatRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Khaman Maluach Prop Write-Ups

Oct 26 ET · PHX @ OKC · ReboundsFull Write-Up →

A longer center workload and demonstrated rebounding activity give Maluach a direct path to eight boards.

Counter-Case: Early fouls against penetrating guards can shorten Maluach's shift. A larger contribution from Ighodaro, a smaller closing lineup or unusually accurate opposing shooting would also reduce his chances on the glass.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (91 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

WAGERBIRD grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 ET).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 ET)911241
Last 30 days (from Oct 11 ET)911241