By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Pre-game sportsbook posted pts + reb + ast total each game vs. WagerBird Modeled Fair Line.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 2 active games (Oct 21 to Oct 23), sportsbooks adjusted Dennis Schröder's posted pts + reb + ast line upward in 1 of 1 game-over-game steps from 20.5 to 23.5 (+3.0). WagerBird's modeled fair line for ATL @ CHA is 26.0 (-185).
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHA @ BKN | 20.5 (-108) | — | 29 | Over | |
| ATL @ CHA | 23.5 (-110) | +3.0 | 11 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line across 2 licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Books adjusted +3.0 vs. -0.5 actual output delta (-3.5 Book Over-Adjustment).
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 · @ BKN | 20.5 | — | 29 | +8.5 |
| Oct 23 · vs ATL | 23.5 | +3.0 | 11 | -12.5 |
A substantial starting workload lets Schröder combine ordinary scoring and passing rates with enough rebounds to clear the total.
35 MIN · 29 PRA — Schröder supplied 19 points, four rebounds and six assists in 35 minutes in the opener. White's absence keeps a substantial guard assignment available, giving Schröder time to contribute even when one category starts slowly.
15.6 PTS · 3.6 REB · 6.8 AST — The projected total does not require scoring to do all the work. Schröder's prior Sacramento and Cleveland stints both produced meaningful passing output in shorter minutes, giving the larger workload a foundation beyond his opening scoring result.
Reid can become the passing hub while Miller takes a larger share of the finishing possessions. Schröder could also lose rebound chances to the frontcourt. If the game settles into long half-court possessions, all three categories have less room to accumulate.
Settlement Rule: CASHES DENNIS SCHRÖDER FULL GAME PRA OVER 22.5 WITH 23 OR MORE COMBINED POINTS, REBOUNDS AND ASSISTS; PUSH IMPOSSIBLE.
Tracks game-by-game pre-game sportsbook posted points lines across Charlotte Hornets's 5 primary contributors.
| Charlotte Hornets Contributor | Oct 31 vs PHI | Nov 2 vs DET | Nov 4 @ BKN | Nov 6 vs BOS | Game-Over-Game Move | Posted Line Trend | Trend Badge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller CHA · Points | 25.5 | 22.5 | 22.5 | 22.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| Naz Reid CHA · Points | 17.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 16.5 | +1.0 | Trending Up ↑ | |
| Grayson Allen CHA · Points | 13.5 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 14.5 | 0.0 | Flat → | |
| Dennis Schröder CHA · Points | 13.5 | 9.5 | 7.5 | — | +2.0 | Trending Up ↑ | |
| Moussa Diabate CHA · Points | 8.5 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 7.5 | +2.0 | Trending Up ↑ |
Market Expanding Team Scoring Ceiling — Implied Team Total Pressure: Bullish
Market Expanding Team Scoring Ceiling — Implied Team Total Pressure: Bullish
1 active Dennis Schröder prop write-up tracked awaiting closing line settlement.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | ATL @ CHA | Pts + Reb + Ast | Over 22.5 (-103) · DraftKings | 23.5 | 11 | — | Read Write-Up → |
A substantial starting workload lets Schröder combine ordinary scoring and passing rates with enough rebounds to clear the total.
Counter-Case: Reid can become the passing hub while Miller takes a larger share of the finishing possessions. Schröder could also lose rebound chances to the frontcourt. If the game settles into long half-court possessions, all three categories have less room to accumulate.
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 73 | 11 | 36 |