Why is the MIA @ SAC Home Team Total moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 14 books
- 115.5 (7 consensus books · 14 tracked)
- Market Move
- 114.5 to 115.5 (1.0 pt toward Over)
- Lane CLV record
- NBA team totals: 11 Beat / 1 Tied / 3 Lost (15 measured)
Why is the MIA @ SAC Home Team Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MIA @ SAC Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 114.5-120 | 114.5-105 | BetMGM | |
| DraftKings | 115.5-105 | 115.5-115 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | 115.5-105 | 115.5-115 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | 115.5-110 | 115.5-120 | Fanatics |
Full market: 14 sportsbooks, consensus 115.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: MIA @ SAC Home Team Total
The Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings Sacramento Kings team total opened at 114.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 115.5 across 14 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 8:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 4:47 AM CT.
At Sun, Nov 8, 4:07 AM CT, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings Sacramento Kings team total.
Across the 14 sportsbooks currently quoting the Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings Sacramento Kings team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 7-book consensus prices Over at 115.5 +104 (49.0% vig-free probability) and Under at 115.5 -104 (51.0% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 114.5 -120 at BetMGM; Under 115.5 -115 at DraftKings.
In the NBA team totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 11 times, tied 1, and lost 3 season to date (15 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NBA Team Totals Closing-Line Value Record (11 Beat, 1 Tied, 3 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 11 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 78.6% |
| Last 30 days | 11 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 78.6% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings (Home Team Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/miami-heat-at-sacramento-kings-home-team-total-2026-11-08-34340" title="Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/miami-heat-at-sacramento-kings-home-team-total-2026-11-08-34340">MIA @ SAC Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>