Why is the MIA @ SAC total moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 48 books
- 238.5 (37 consensus books · 48 tracked)
- Market Move
- 238.5 to 238.5 (flat since open)
- Lane CLV record
- NBA game totals: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (2 measured)
Why is the MIA @ SAC total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 15 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MIA @ SAC Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 238.5-110 | 238.5-110 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | 238.5-110 | 238.5-110 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | 238.5-106 | 238.5-114 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | 238.5-110 | 238.5-110 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | 238.5-110 | 238.5-110 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | 238.5+100 | 238.5-104 | ProphetX |
Full market: 48 sportsbooks, consensus 238.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: MIA @ SAC Total
The Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings total opened at 238.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sat, Nov 7, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 238.5 across 48 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 8:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 12:40 AM CT.
At Sun, Nov 8, 12:08 AM CT, 15 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings total.
Across the 48 sportsbooks currently quoting the Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 37-book consensus prices Over at 238.5 +101 (49.7% vig-free probability) and Under at 238.5 -101 (50.3% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 238.5 +100 at ProphetX; Under 238.5 -104 at ProphetX.
In the NBA game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 0, and lost 0 season to date (2 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
NBA Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 100.0% |
| Last 30 days | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 100.0% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings (Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/miami-heat-at-sacramento-kings-total-2026-11-08-34340" title="Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/miami-heat-at-sacramento-kings-total-2026-11-08-34340">MIA @ SAC Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>