Donte Johnson @ Cesar Almeida Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Market Movement Analysis: JOHNSOD @ ALMEIDC Moneyline

The Donte Johnson at Cesar Almeida moneyline opened at 42.0% implied probability for ALMEIDC on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Wed, Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET) and currently sits at 41.7% implied probability for ALMEIDC across 35 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward JOHNSOD. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Thu, Nov 12, 8:46 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 2:00 PM ET, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward JOHNSOD by a median of 2.1% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Donte Johnson at Cesar Almeida moneyline.

Across the 34 sportsbooks currently quoting the Donte Johnson at Cesar Almeida moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 8.5% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 34-book consensus prices JOHNSOD at -155 (60.8% vig-free probability) and ALMEIDC at +155 (39.2% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: JOHNSOD -170 at FanDuel; ALMEIDC +155 at Caesars.

Every MMA moneylines release is settled on the final score; WAGERBIRD also reports Closing Line Value (CLV): Ahead of close, At the close, or Behind close against the release sportsbook's closing number. The full historical audit CSV is available for download below.