CFB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: TXST (+2.7% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the TXST @ ORST moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 42 books
TXST +188 (42 consensus books · 42 tracked)
Market Move
ORST 71.4% to 68.8% (2.7% implied probability toward TXST)
Lane CLV record
CFB moneylines: 15 Beat / 4 Tied / 15 Lost (34 measured)

Why is the TXST @ ORST moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.0% implied probability) toward TXST across 14 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

TXST
Vig-free consensus +188 (34.7% across 42 books)
Best price: +192 at ProphetX
ORST
Vig-free consensus -188 (65.3% across 42 books)
Best price: -198 at ProphetX

TXST @ ORST Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookTXSTORSTUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+175-210BetMGM
Caesars+181-218Caesars
DraftKings+180-218DraftKings
FanDuel+164-200FanDuel
Fanatics+180-222Fanatics
ProphetX+192-198ProphetX

Full market: 42 sportsbooks, consensus TXST +188. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: TXST @ ORST Moneyline

The Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers moneyline opened at 71.4% implied probability for ORST on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 3, 4:00 AM CT) and currently sits at 68.8% implied probability for ORST across 43 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.7% implied probability, with net market movement toward TXST. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 9:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:26 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 9:37 AM CT, 14 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward TXST by a median of 2.0% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers moneyline.

Across the 42 sportsbooks currently quoting the Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 5.4% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 42-book consensus prices TXST at +188 (34.7% vig-free probability) and ORST at -188 (65.3% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TXST +192 at ProphetX; ORST -198 at ProphetX.

In the CFB moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 15 times, tied 4, and lost 15 season to date (34 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (15 Beat, 4 Tied, 15 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date154153450.0%
Last 30 days122122650.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/texas-state-bobcats-at-oregon-state-beavers-moneyline-2026-11-07-27447" title="Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/texas-state-bobcats-at-oregon-state-beavers-moneyline-2026-11-07-27447">TXST @ ORST Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>