Why is the TXST @ ORST 1st Half Moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 23 books
- TXST +154 (23 consensus books · 23 tracked)
- Market Move
- ORST 65.8% to 63.6% (2.1% implied probability toward TXST)
- Lane CLV record
- CFB first-half moneylines: 1 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost (2 measured)
Why is the TXST @ ORST 1st Half Moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.2% implied probability) toward TXST across 6 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
TXST @ ORST 1st Half Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | TXST | ORST | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +140 | -175 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +140 | -173 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +140 | -166 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +126 | -154 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +140 | -185 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | +144 | -154 | ProphetX |
Full market: 23 sportsbooks, consensus TXST +154. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: TXST @ ORST 1st Half Moneyline
The Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers first-half moneyline opened at 65.8% implied probability for ORST on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 3, 4:00 AM CT) and currently sits at 63.6% implied probability for ORST across 23 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.1% implied probability, with net market movement toward TXST. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 9:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT.
At Sat, Nov 7, 1:01 PM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward TXST by a median of 2.2% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers first-half moneyline.
Across the 23 sportsbooks currently quoting the Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers first-half moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 4.9% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 23-book consensus prices TXST at +154 (39.3% vig-free probability) and ORST at -154 (60.7% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TXST +144 at ProphetX; ORST -154 at FanDuel.
In the CFB first-half moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 1 times, tied 1, and lost 0 season to date (2 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB First-Half Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (1 Beat, 1 Tied, 0 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 100.0% |
| Last 30 days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers (1st Half Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/texas-state-bobcats-at-oregon-state-beavers-1h-moneyline-2026-11-07-27447" title="Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/texas-state-bobcats-at-oregon-state-beavers-1h-moneyline-2026-11-07-27447">TXST @ ORST 1st Half Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>