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CFB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff

North Texas Mean Green @ UTSA Roadrunners Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 36 books
UNT -2.5 (25 consensus books · 36 tracked)
Market Move
UTSA +2.5 to +2.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 0.5 pts intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 85 · At close: 11 · Behind: 54 (150 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
UNT 53.7% · UTSA 46.3%
Consensus Spread
UTSA +2.5
Consensus Total
76.5
Market-Implied Score
UNT 39.5 – UTSA 37

Market Brief: UNT @ UTSA Spread

North Texas Mean Green @ UTSA Roadrunners Spread: vig-free consensus stands at UNT -2.5 +100 / UTSA +2.5 -100 across 25 consensus sportsbooks (36 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 10:46 PM ET). Best price per side: UNT -2.5 -103 at ProphetX; UTSA +2.5 +100 at ProphetX.

The line is unchanged since open (UTSA +2.5) across 38 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 9:00 PM ET).

What is the UNT @ UTSA spread consensus line and best price per side?

North Texas Mean Green @ UTSA Roadrunners Spread: vig-free consensus stands at UNT -2.5 +100 / UTSA +2.5 -100 across 25 consensus sportsbooks (36 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 10:46 PM ET). Best price per side: UNT -2.5 -103 at ProphetX; UTSA +2.5 +100 at ProphetX.

How has the UNT @ UTSA spread moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (UTSA +2.5) across 38 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for UNT @ UTSA spread?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 9:00 PM ET).

Why is the UNT @ UTSA spread moving?

  • Market line moved 0.5 pts toward UNT across 9 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

UNT
Vig-free consensus -2.5 +100 (49.9% across 25 books)
Best price: -2.5 -103 at ProphetX
UTSA
Vig-free consensus +2.5 -100 (50.1% across 25 books)
Best price: +2.5 +100 at ProphetX

UNT @ UTSA Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookUNTUTSAExecution
BetMGM-2.5-108+2.5-110BetMGM
Caesars-2.5-108+2.5-112Caesars
DraftKings-2.5-108+2.5-112DraftKings
FanDuel-2.5-110+2.5-110FanDuel
Fanatics-2.5-110+2.5-110Fanatics
ProphetX-2.5-103+2.5+100ProphetX

Full market: 36 sportsbooks, consensus UNT -2.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: UNT @ UTSA Spread

The North Texas Mean Green at UTSA Roadrunners spread opened at UTSA +2.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at UTSA +2.5 across 38 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 9:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 10:46 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 10:29 PM ET, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UNT by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the North Texas Mean Green at UTSA Roadrunners spread.

Across the 36 sportsbooks currently quoting the North Texas Mean Green at UTSA Roadrunners spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 8.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 25-book consensus prices UNT at -2.5 +100 (49.9% vig-free probability) and UTSA at +2.5 -100 (50.1% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: UNT -2.5 -103 at ProphetX; UTSA +2.5 +100 at ProphetX.

In the CFB spreads betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 85 · At the close: 11 · Behind close: 54 (150 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 60.7% of moved lines ahead of close (85 Ahead of close · 11 At the close · 55 Behind close) · Sept 25–Nov 11

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date851154150
Last 30 days5643292

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 61% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for North Texas Mean Green at UTSA Roadrunners (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/north-texas-mean-green-at-utsa-roadrunners-spread-2026-11-14-27517" title="North Texas Mean Green at UTSA Roadrunners Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/north-texas-mean-green-at-utsa-roadrunners-spread-2026-11-14-27517">UNT @ UTSA Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>