Louisville Cardinals @ North Carolina Tar Heels Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Release Status
- Locked Release · Logged Sat, Nov 7, 6:16 AM ET · Opens at the final
- Current Consensus across 43 books
- LOU -157 (43 consensus books · 43 tracked)
- Market Move
- UNC 41.7% to 40.5% (1.2% implied probability toward LOU)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 19 · At close: 5 · Behind: 19 (43 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- LOU 61.0% · UNC 39.0%
- Consensus Spread
- UNC +3.5
- Consensus Total
- 59.5
- Market-Implied Score
- LOU 31.5 – UNC 28
Market Brief: LOU @ UNC Moneyline
Louisville Cardinals @ North Carolina Tar Heels Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at LOU -157 / UNC +157 across 43 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:14 PM ET). Best price per side: LOU -168 at ProphetX; UNC +160 at ProphetX.
Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 3:30 PM ET), implied probability moved from 41.7% to 40.5% toward LOU (1.2% implied probability) across 43 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.
What is the LOU @ UNC moneyline consensus line and best price per side?
Louisville Cardinals @ North Carolina Tar Heels Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at LOU -157 / UNC +157 across 43 consensus sportsbooks (43 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 9:14 PM ET). Best price per side: LOU -168 at ProphetX; UNC +160 at ProphetX.
How has the LOU @ UNC moneyline moved from open to current?
Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 3:30 PM ET), implied probability moved from 41.7% to 40.5% toward LOU (1.2% implied probability) across 43 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for LOU @ UNC moneyline?
WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.
Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final
Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.
Read on WAGERBIRD →Vig-free consensus and best partner price
LOU @ UNC Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 43 sportsbooks, consensus LOU -157. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Summary: LOU @ UNC Moneyline
Across 43 tracked sportsbooks, the LOU @ UNC moneyline implied probability moved from 41.7% at open to 40.5% toward LOU (1.2% implied probability).
Best current licensed partner quotes: LOU -168 at ProphetX; UNC +160 at ProphetX. Quoting books currently span 5.0% implied probability across the market.
CFB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 50.0% of moved lines ahead of close (19 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 19 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 7
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Louisville Cardinals at North Carolina Tar Heels (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/louisville-cardinals-at-north-carolina-tar-heels-moneyline-2026-11-14-27481" title="Louisville Cardinals at North Carolina Tar Heels Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/louisville-cardinals-at-north-carolina-tar-heels-moneyline-2026-11-14-27481">LOU @ UNC Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>