Why is the BUFF @ BALL 1st Half Total moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 8 books
- 26.5 (8 consensus books · 8 tracked)
- Market Move
- 25.5 to 26.5 (1.0 pt toward Over)
- Lane CLV record
- CFB first-half game totals: 14 Beat / 8 Tied / 5 Lost (27 measured)
Why is the BUFF @ BALL 1st Half Total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 2 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
BUFF @ BALL 1st Half Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 26.5-107 | 26.5-115 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | 26.5-108 | 26.5-112 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | 26.5-106 | 26.5-114 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | 26.5-115 | 26.5-115 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | 26.5-116 | 26.5-125 | ProphetX |
Full market: 8 sportsbooks, consensus 26.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: BUFF @ BALL 1st Half Total
The Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals first-half total opened at 25.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 8:00 AM CT) and currently sits at 26.5 across 8 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Over. Scheduled kickoff is Wed, Nov 11, 6:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 11:28 AM CT.
At Mon, Nov 9, 10:14 AM CT, 2 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals first-half total.
Across the 8 sportsbooks currently quoting the Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals first-half total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 0.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 8-book consensus prices Over at 26.5 +103 (49.4% vig-free probability) and Under at 26.5 -103 (50.6% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 26.5 -106 at FanDuel; Under 26.5 -112 at DraftKings.
In the CFB first-half game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 14 times, tied 8, and lost 5 season to date (27 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB First-Half Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (14 Beat, 8 Tied, 5 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 14 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 73.7% |
| Last 30 days | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 100.0% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals (1st Half Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/buffalo-bulls-at-ball-state-cardinals-1h-total-2026-11-11-27470" title="Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/buffalo-bulls-at-ball-state-cardinals-1h-total-2026-11-11-27470">BUFF @ BALL 1st Half Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>