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CBB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: UCD (+1.1% implied prob)

UC Davis Aggies @ Sacramento State Hornets Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 21 books
UCD +141 (21 consensus books · 21 tracked)
Market Move
SAC 62.8% to 61.8% (1.1% implied probability toward UCD)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 4 · At close: 3 · Behind: 3 (10 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
UCD 41.6% · SAC 58.4%
Consensus Spread
SAC -3.5
Consensus Total
159.5
Market-Implied Score
UCD 78 – SAC 81.5

Market Brief: UCD @ SAC Moneyline

UC Davis Aggies @ Sacramento State Hornets Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at UCD +141 / SAC -141 across 21 consensus sportsbooks (21 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 1:18 AM ET). Best price per side: UCD +140 at Fanatics; SAC -144 at ProphetX.

Since open (Fri, Nov 13, 5:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 62.8% to 61.8% toward UCD (1.1% implied probability) across 24 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM ET).

What is the UCD @ SAC moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

UC Davis Aggies @ Sacramento State Hornets Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at UCD +141 / SAC -141 across 21 consensus sportsbooks (21 total books tracked as of Sat, Nov 14, 1:18 AM ET). Best price per side: UCD +140 at Fanatics; SAC -144 at ProphetX.

How has the UCD @ SAC moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Fri, Nov 13, 5:45 PM ET), implied probability moved from 62.8% to 61.8% toward UCD (1.1% implied probability) across 24 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for UCD @ SAC moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM ET).

Why is the UCD @ SAC moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.1% implied probability) toward UCD across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

UCD
Vig-free consensus +141 (41.6% across 21 books)
Best price: +140 at Fanatics
SAC
Vig-free consensus -141 (58.4% across 21 books)
Best price: -144 at ProphetX

UCD @ SAC Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookUCDSACExecution
BetMGM+135-160BetMGM
DraftKings+136-162DraftKings
FanDuel+122-146FanDuel
Fanatics+140-170Fanatics
ProphetX+132-144ProphetX

Full market: 21 sportsbooks, consensus UCD +141. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: UCD @ SAC Moneyline

The UC Davis Aggies at Sacramento State Hornets moneyline opened at 62.8% implied probability for SAC on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 13, 5:45 PM ET) and currently sits at 61.8% implied probability for SAC across 24 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.1% implied probability, with net market movement toward UCD. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 14, 1:18 AM ET.

At Sat, Nov 14, 1:04 AM ET, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UCD by a median of 2.1% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the UC Davis Aggies at Sacramento State Hornets moneyline.

Across the 21 sportsbooks currently quoting the UC Davis Aggies at Sacramento State Hornets moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 6.8% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 21-book consensus prices UCD at +141 (41.6% vig-free probability) and SAC at -141 (58.4% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: UCD +140 at Fanatics; SAC -144 at ProphetX.

In the CBB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 4 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 3 (10 measured through 2026-11-13). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 57.1% of moved lines ahead of close (4 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 13

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date43310
Last 30 days43310

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-13). Of releases where the line moved, 57% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for UC Davis Aggies at Sacramento State Hornets (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/uc-davis-aggies-at-sacramento-state-hornets-moneyline-2026-11-14-34997" title="UC Davis Aggies at Sacramento State Hornets Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/uc-davis-aggies-at-sacramento-state-hornets-moneyline-2026-11-14-34997">UCD @ SAC Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>