CBB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: UTRGV (+3.7% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the TXST @ UTRGV moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 11 books
TXST -246 (11 consensus books · 11 tracked)
Market Move
UTRGV 27.0% to 30.8% (3.7% implied probability toward UTRGV)
Lane CLV record
CBB moneylines: 3 Beat / 3 Tied / 1 Lost (7 measured)

Why is the TXST @ UTRGV moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (1.9% implied probability) toward UTRGV across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

TXST
Vig-free consensus -246 (71.1% across 11 books)
Best price: -280 at FanDuel
UTRGV
Vig-free consensus +246 (28.9% across 11 books)
Best price: +240 at Fanatics

TXST @ UTRGV Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookTXSTUTRGVUpdated (CT)Execution
FanDuel-280+225FanDuel
Fanatics-300+240Fanatics

Full market: 11 sportsbooks, consensus TXST -246. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: TXST @ UTRGV Moneyline

The Texas State Bobcats at Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros moneyline opened at 27.0% implied probability for UTRGV on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 9, 7:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 30.8% implied probability for UTRGV across 11 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 3.7% implied probability, with net market movement toward UTRGV. Scheduled kickoff is Tue, Nov 10, 6:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 9:19 PM CT.

At Mon, Nov 9, 7:29 PM CT, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UTRGV by a median of 1.9% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Texas State Bobcats at Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros moneyline.

Across the 11 sportsbooks currently quoting the Texas State Bobcats at Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.2% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 11-book consensus prices TXST at -246 (71.1% vig-free probability) and UTRGV at +246 (28.9% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: TXST -280 at FanDuel; UTRGV +240 at Fanatics.

In the CBB moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 3 times, tied 3, and lost 1 season to date (7 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (3 Beat, 3 Tied, 1 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date331775.0%
Last 30 days331775.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas State Bobcats at Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/texas-state-bobcats-at-texas-rio-grande-valley-vaqueros-moneyline-2026-11-10-34457" title="Texas State Bobcats at Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/texas-state-bobcats-at-texas-rio-grande-valley-vaqueros-moneyline-2026-11-10-34457">TXST @ UTRGV Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>