CBB · MoneylineFree Pick ReleaseKickoff Market Move: WSU (+2.9% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

WSU @ DUQ Moneyline Fair Value vs WSU +171 Market: Free Pick Money Line: Duquesne Dukes (-184)

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

Release Line / Price
Money Line: Duquesne Dukes (-184) at FD ·
Current Consensus across 19 books
WSU +171 (19 consensus books · 19 tracked)
Market Move
DUQ 69.6% to 66.7% (2.9% implied probability toward WSU)
WagerBird Fair Line & Fair Price
-
+EV%
-
Value Status
Active edge · Best price -184 at FanDuel
Lane CLV record
CBB moneylines: 3 Beat / 3 Tied / 1 Lost (7 measured)
Free Pick Release (STR 58)
Pick SideMoney Line: Duquesne Dukes (-184)
Release Line & Price- (-184) · FD
Modeled Fair Line & Fair Price- / -
+EV% Edge vs. Market (WSU +171)-

The WagerBird Brief: Money Line: Duquesne Dukes (-184)

Investment Committee Thesis

Duquesne can win through interior second chances and free-throw pressure while Washington State finishes its eastern trip.

Fundamental Case (3 Drivers)

Pressure at the stripe
46 FTA · 24 OPP FTA · 2 GAMES

Duquesne has attempted 46 free throws through two games while its opponents have attempted 24. Getting to the stripe gives the offense a scoring route when perimeter shots stop falling. If that pressure continues, it can also put Washington State's interior rotation into foul trouble and help Duquesne protect a late lead.

Interior second chances
24 OREB · 6-11 CENTER · 275 LB

Duquesne has collected 24 offensive rebounds, and Demir supplies a center listed at 6-foot-11 and 275 pounds. That combination offers a route to extra attempts and close-range possessions rather than relying exclusively on jump shots. Washington State must finish its defensive possessions cleanly to keep those opportunities from becoming repeated scoring chances.

A steadier setting
SECOND TRIP GAME · 3,500 SEATS

Washington State finishes its eastern trip in a 3,500-seat building where Duquesne remains in its home setting. Both teams have two full rest days, so this is not an exhaustion argument. Duquesne's continuity of setting offers a modest preparation and execution advantage while the Cougars complete another travel leg.

Red Team Counter-Case & Risk Factors

Washington State can repeat its perimeter burst at High Point and make Duquesne chase the game. Pulling Demir into ball-screen coverage can open driving lanes and put the interior rotation in foul trouble. Offensive rebounds from the Cougars can erase Duquesne's extra-possession advantage. If Berman's shooting cools while the guards turn the ball over, the Dukes can lose despite getting to the line.

Why is the WSU @ DUQ moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.0% implied probability) toward WSU across 3 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

WSU
Vig-free consensus +171 (37% across 19 books)
Best price: +170 at Fanatics
DUQ
Vig-free consensus -171 (63% across 19 books)
Best price: -184 at FanDuel

WSU @ DUQ Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookWSUDUQUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+154-190BetMGM
DraftKings+164-198DraftKings
FanDuel+152-184FanDuel
Fanatics+170-204Fanatics

Full market: 19 sportsbooks, consensus WSU +171. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Summary: WSU @ DUQ Moneyline

Across 19 tracked sportsbooks, the WSU @ DUQ moneyline implied probability moved from 69.6% at open to 66.7% toward WSU (2.9% implied probability).

Best current licensed partner quotes: WSU +170 at Fanatics; DUQ -184 at FanDuel. Quoting books currently span 5.2% implied probability across the market.

CBB Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (3 Beat, 3 Tied, 1 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date331775.0%
Last 30 days331775.0%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Washington State Cougars at Duquesne Dukes (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/washington-state-cougars-at-duquesne-dukes-moneyline-2026-11-10-34433" title="Washington State Cougars at Duquesne Dukes Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/washington-state-cougars-at-duquesne-dukes-moneyline-2026-11-10-34433">WSU @ DUQ Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>