Why is the USA @ UCF moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 21 books
- USA +951 (21 consensus books · 21 tracked)
- Market Move
- UCF 96.8% to 95.2% (1.6% implied probability toward USA)
- Lane CLV record
- CBB moneylines: 3 Beat / 3 Tied / 1 Lost (7 measured)
Why is the USA @ UCF moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (1.8% implied probability) toward USA across 8 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
USA @ UCF Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | USA | UCF | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +850 | -1600 | BetMGM | |
| DraftKings | +950 | -1650 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +1060 | -2300 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +1000 | -1800 | Fanatics |
Full market: 21 sportsbooks, consensus USA +951. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: USA @ UCF Moneyline
The South Alabama Jaguars at UCF Knights moneyline opened at 96.8% implied probability for UCF on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 9, 12:45 PM CT) and currently sits at 95.2% implied probability for UCF across 22 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.6% implied probability, with net market movement toward USA. Scheduled kickoff is Tue, Nov 10, 6:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 10:11 PM CT.
At Mon, Nov 9, 9:15 PM CT, 8 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward USA by a median of 1.8% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the South Alabama Jaguars at UCF Knights moneyline.
Across the 21 sportsbooks currently quoting the South Alabama Jaguars at UCF Knights moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.7% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 21-book consensus prices USA at +951 (9.5% vig-free probability) and UCF at -951 (90.5% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: USA +1060 at FanDuel; UCF -1600 at BetMGM.
In the CBB moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 3 times, tied 3, and lost 1 season to date (7 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (3 Beat, 3 Tied, 1 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 75.0% |
| Last 30 days | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 75.0% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for South Alabama Jaguars at UCF Knights (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/south-alabama-jaguars-at-ucf-knights-moneyline-2026-11-10-34437" title="South Alabama Jaguars at UCF Knights Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/south-alabama-jaguars-at-ucf-knights-moneyline-2026-11-10-34437">USA @ UCF Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>