Why is the MONT @ SF moneyline moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 20 books
- MONT +560 (20 consensus books · 20 tracked)
- Market Move
- SF 88.6% to 89.0% (0.4% implied probability toward SF)
- Lane CLV record
- CBB moneylines: 3 Beat / 3 Tied / 1 Lost (7 measured)
Why is the MONT @ SF moneyline moving?
- Market consensus updated (1.6% implied probability) toward SF across 4 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MONT @ SF Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | MONT | SF | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +550 | -800 | BetMGM | |
| DraftKings | +550 | -800 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +540 | -800 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +525 | -750 | Fanatics |
Full market: 20 sportsbooks, consensus MONT +560. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: MONT @ SF Moneyline
The Montana Grizzlies at San Francisco Dons moneyline opened at 88.6% implied probability for SF on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 9, 4:15 PM CT) and currently sits at 89.0% implied probability for SF across 21 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.4% implied probability, with net market movement toward SF. Scheduled kickoff is Tue, Nov 10, 9:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 11:17 PM CT.
At Mon, Nov 9, 9:45 PM CT, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward SF by a median of 1.6% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Montana Grizzlies at San Francisco Dons moneyline.
Across the 20 sportsbooks currently quoting the Montana Grizzlies at San Francisco Dons moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.9% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 20-book consensus prices MONT at +560 (15.2% vig-free probability) and SF at -560 (84.8% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: MONT +550 at BetMGM; SF -750 at Fanatics.
In the CBB moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 3 times, tied 3, and lost 1 season to date (7 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (3 Beat, 3 Tied, 1 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 75.0% |
| Last 30 days | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 75.0% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Montana Grizzlies at San Francisco Dons (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/montana-grizzlies-at-san-francisco-dons-moneyline-2026-11-10-34427" title="Montana Grizzlies at San Francisco Dons Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/montana-grizzlies-at-san-francisco-dons-moneyline-2026-11-10-34427">MONT @ SF Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>