Why is the USA @ UCF spread moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 19 books
- USA +16.5 (17 consensus books · 19 tracked)
- Market Move
- UCF -17 to -16.5 (0.5 pts toward USA)
- Lane CLV record
- CBB spreads: 28 Beat / 28 Tied / 36 Lost (92 measured)
Why is the USA @ UCF spread moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward USA across 7 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
USA @ UCF Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | USA | UCF | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +16.5-105 | -16.5-115 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +16.5-110 | -16.5-110 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +16.5-108 | -16.5-112 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +16.5-102 | -16.5-120 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +16-110 | -16-110 | Fanatics |
Full market: 19 sportsbooks, consensus USA +16.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: USA @ UCF Spread
The South Alabama Jaguars at UCF Knights spread opened at UCF -17 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 9, 12:45 PM CT) and currently sits at UCF -16.5 across 19 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward USA. Scheduled kickoff is Tue, Nov 10, 6:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 7:34 PM CT.
At Mon, Nov 9, 4:44 PM CT, 7 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward USA by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the South Alabama Jaguars at UCF Knights spread.
Across the 19 sportsbooks currently quoting the South Alabama Jaguars at UCF Knights spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 17-book consensus prices USA at +16.5 +104 (49.1% vig-free probability) and UCF at -16.5 -104 (50.9% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: USA +16.5 -102 at FanDuel; UCF -16 -110 at Fanatics.
In the CBB spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 28 times, tied 28, and lost 36 season to date (92 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CBB Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (28 Beat, 28 Tied, 36 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 28 | 28 | 36 | 92 | 43.8% |
| Last 30 days | 28 | 28 | 36 | 92 | 43.8% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for South Alabama Jaguars at UCF Knights (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/south-alabama-jaguars-at-ucf-knights-spread-2026-11-10-34437" title="South Alabama Jaguars at UCF Knights Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/south-alabama-jaguars-at-ucf-knights-spread-2026-11-10-34437">USA @ UCF Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>