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CBB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: UNM (+6.5% implied prob)

New Mexico Lobos @ Santa Clara Broncos Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 9 books
UNM -109 (9 consensus books · 9 tracked)
Market Move
SCU 56.5% to 50.0% (6.5% implied probability toward UNM)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 3 · At close: 3 · Behind: 3 (9 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
UNM 52.0% · SCU 48.0%
Consensus Spread
SCU +2.5
Consensus Total
164.5
Market-Implied Score
UNM 83.5 – SCU 81

Market Brief: UNM @ SCU Moneyline

New Mexico Lobos @ Santa Clara Broncos Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at UNM -109 / SCU +109 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (9 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 5:48 PM ET). Best price per side: UNM +130 at DraftKings; SCU +104 at FanDuel.

Since open (Fri, Nov 13, 5:30 PM ET), implied probability moved from 56.5% to 50.0% toward UNM (6.5% implied probability) across 9 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PM ET).

What is the UNM @ SCU moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

New Mexico Lobos @ Santa Clara Broncos Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at UNM -109 / SCU +109 across 9 consensus sportsbooks (9 total books tracked as of Fri, Nov 13, 5:48 PM ET). Best price per side: UNM +130 at DraftKings; SCU +104 at FanDuel.

How has the UNM @ SCU moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Fri, Nov 13, 5:30 PM ET), implied probability moved from 56.5% to 50.0% toward UNM (6.5% implied probability) across 9 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for UNM @ SCU moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PM ET).

Why is the UNM @ SCU moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (8.4% implied probability) toward UNM across 4 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

UNM
Vig-free consensus -109 (52% across 9 books)
Best price: +130 at DraftKings
SCU
Vig-free consensus +109 (48% across 9 books)
Best price: +104 at FanDuel

UNM @ SCU Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookUNMSCUExecution
DraftKings+130-155DraftKings
FanDuel-125+104FanDuel
Fanatics-125+100Fanatics

Full market: 9 sportsbooks, consensus UNM -109. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: UNM @ SCU Moneyline

The New Mexico Lobos at Santa Clara Broncos moneyline opened at 56.5% implied probability for SCU on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Fri, Nov 13, 5:30 PM ET) and currently sits at 50.0% implied probability for SCU across 9 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 6.5% implied probability, with net market movement toward UNM. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Fri, Nov 13, 5:48 PM ET.

At Fri, Nov 13, 5:44 PM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward UNM by a median of 8.4% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the New Mexico Lobos at Santa Clara Broncos moneyline.

Across the 9 sportsbooks currently quoting the New Mexico Lobos at Santa Clara Broncos moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 15.3% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 9-book consensus prices UNM at -109 (52.0% vig-free probability) and SCU at +109 (48.0% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: UNM +130 at DraftKings; SCU +104 at FanDuel.

In the CBB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 3 · At the close: 3 · Behind close: 3 (9 measured through 2026-11-12). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CBB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 50.0% of moved lines ahead of close (3 Ahead of close · 3 At the close · 3 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date3339
Last 30 days3339

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-12). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for New Mexico Lobos at Santa Clara Broncos (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/new-mexico-lobos-at-santa-clara-broncos-moneyline-2026-11-14-35000" title="New Mexico Lobos at Santa Clara Broncos Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/new-mexico-lobos-at-santa-clara-broncos-moneyline-2026-11-14-35000">UNM @ SCU Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>