Morgan State Bears @ UMBC Retrievers Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 12)
Prices as of .
By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475
Released · Updated
- Release Status
- Locked Release · Logged Wed, Nov 11, 11:03 PM ET · Opens at the final
- Current Consensus across 35 books
- 164.5 (14 consensus books · 35 tracked)
- Market Move
- 161.5 to 165 (3.5 pts toward Over)
- Lane closing-line timing
- Ahead: 26 · At close: 35 · Behind: 33 (94 measured)
Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)
- Implied Win Probability
- MORG 31.2% · UMBC 68.8%
- Consensus Spread
- UMBC -5.5
- Consensus Total
- 164.5
- Market-Implied Score
- MORG 79.5 – UMBC 85
Market Brief: MORG @ UMBC Total
Morgan State Bears @ UMBC Retrievers Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 164.5 -102 / Under 164.5 +102 across 14 consensus sportsbooks (35 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 10:50 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 164.5 -114 at ProphetX; Under 165 -110 at Caesars.
Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 5:30 PM ET), the line moved from 161.5 to 165 toward Over (3.5 pts) across 35 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Thu, Nov 12, 6:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.
What is the MORG @ UMBC total consensus line and best price per side?
Morgan State Bears @ UMBC Retrievers Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 164.5 -102 / Under 164.5 +102 across 14 consensus sportsbooks (35 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 10:50 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 164.5 -114 at ProphetX; Under 165 -110 at Caesars.
How has the MORG @ UMBC total moved from open to current?
Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 5:30 PM ET), the line moved from 161.5 to 165 toward Over (3.5 pts) across 35 sportsbooks.
What is the locked release status for MORG @ UMBC total?
WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Thu, Nov 12, 6:00 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.
Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final
Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.
Read on WAGERBIRD →Why is the MORG @ UMBC total moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Over across 9 tracked sportsbooks.
- Market line moved 3.0 pts toward Over across 32 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
MORG @ UMBC Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
Full market: 35 sportsbooks, consensus 164.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Summary: MORG @ UMBC Total
Across 35 tracked sportsbooks, the MORG @ UMBC total moved from an opening number of 161.5 to 165 toward Over (3.5 pts).
Best current licensed partner quotes: Over 164.5 -114 at ProphetX; Under 165 -110 at Caesars. Quoting books currently span 2.0 pts across the market.
CBB Game Totals Closing Line Value (CLV)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 43.1% of moved lines ahead of close (25 Ahead of close · 35 At the close · 33 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11
Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 44% finished ahead of the close.
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Morgan State Bears at UMBC Retrievers (Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/morgan-state-bears-at-umbc-retrievers-total-2026-11-12-34753" title="Morgan State Bears at UMBC Retrievers Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/morgan-state-bears-at-umbc-retrievers-total-2026-11-12-34753">MORG @ UMBC Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>