ENES
CBB · SpreadLocked ReleaseKickoff Market Move: PSU -20.5 → -21 (-0.5 pts)

Mercyhurst Lakers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Spread Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 12)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Release Status
Locked Release · Logged Wed, Nov 11, 11:03 PM ET · Opens at the final
Current Consensus across 33 books
MERC +21.5 (14 consensus books · 33 tracked)
Market Move
PSU -20.5 to -21 (0.5 pts toward PSU)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 41 · At close: 34 · Behind: 55 (130 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
MERC 5.6% · PSU 94.4%
Consensus Spread
PSU -21.5
Consensus Total
148.5
Market-Implied Score
MERC 63.5 – PSU 85

Market Brief: MERC @ PSU Spread

Mercyhurst Lakers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Spread: vig-free consensus stands at MERC +21.5 -104 / PSU -21.5 +104 across 14 consensus sportsbooks (33 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 10:53 AM ET). Best price per side: MERC +21.5 -115 at BetMGM; PSU -20.5 -113 at ProphetX.

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 5:45 PM ET), the line moved from PSU -20.5 to PSU -21 (0.5 pts) across 35 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Thu, Nov 12, 6:30 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

What is the MERC @ PSU spread consensus line and best price per side?

Mercyhurst Lakers @ Penn State Nittany Lions Spread: vig-free consensus stands at MERC +21.5 -104 / PSU -21.5 +104 across 14 consensus sportsbooks (33 total books tracked as of Thu, Nov 12, 10:53 AM ET). Best price per side: MERC +21.5 -115 at BetMGM; PSU -20.5 -113 at ProphetX.

How has the MERC @ PSU spread moved from open to current?

Since open (Wed, Nov 11, 5:45 PM ET), the line moved from PSU -20.5 to PSU -21 (0.5 pts) across 35 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for MERC @ PSU spread?

WAGERBIRD has a verified locked release on this market (Thu, Nov 12, 6:30 PM ET); members read it in the Terminal, and the side, price and closing-line grade open on this page at the final.

Locked Release

Desk Status: Verified Release Logged () · Locked Until Final

Releases below 85: Read with Weekday Pass ($29) or Weekend Pass ($49), or any monthly Alpha Plan · Releases 85–100: Read with monthly points.

Read on WAGERBIRD →

Why is the MERC @ PSU spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward PSU across 8 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

MERC
Vig-free consensus +21.5 -104 (51% across 14 books)
Best price: +21.5 -115 at BetMGM
PSU
Vig-free consensus -21.5 +104 (49% across 14 books)
Best price: -20.5 -113 at ProphetX

MERC @ PSU Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookMERCPSUExecution
BetMGM+21.5-115-21.5-105BetMGM
Caesars+21-110-21-110Caesars
DraftKings+21.5-115-21.5-105DraftKings
FanDuel+20.5-104-20.5-118FanDuel
Fanatics+21-110-21-110Fanatics
ProphetX+20.5+100-20.5-113ProphetX

Full market: 33 sportsbooks, consensus MERC +21.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Summary: MERC @ PSU Spread

Across 33 tracked sportsbooks, the MERC @ PSU spread moved from an opening number of PSU -20.5 to PSU -21 (0.5 pts).

Best current licensed partner quotes: MERC +21.5 -115 at BetMGM; PSU -20.5 -113 at ProphetX. Quoting books currently span 4.0 pts across the market.

CBB Spreads Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 42.7% of moved lines ahead of close (41 Ahead of close · 34 At the close · 55 Behind close) · Nov 2–Nov 11

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date413455130
Last 30 days413455130

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-11). Of releases where the line moved, 43% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Mercyhurst Lakers at Penn State Nittany Lions (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cbb/mercyhurst-lakers-at-penn-state-nittany-lions-spread-2026-11-12-34754" title="Mercyhurst Lakers at Penn State Nittany Lions Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cbb/mercyhurst-lakers-at-penn-state-nittany-lions-spread-2026-11-12-34754">MERC @ PSU Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>