Soccer · Total Goals (Over/Under)Market MovementKickoff Market UpdateES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Portland Timbers at Austin FC: Total Goals (Over/Under) Odds & Vig-Free Fair Value

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 29 books
3.5 (25 consensus books · 29 tracked)
Market Move
3.5 to 3.5 (flat since open)
Lane CLV record
SOCCER game totals: 31 Beat / 12 Tied / 28 Lost (71 measured)

Why is the POR @ AUS total Goals (Over/Under) moving?

  • Market consensus updated (4.1% implied probability) toward Over across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 3.5 -105 (51.1% across 25 books)
Best price: 3.5 -115 at FanDuel
Under
Vig-free consensus 3.5 +105 (48.9% across 25 books)
Best price: 3.5 -104 at Caesars

POR @ AUS Total Goals (Over/Under) Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM3.5-1303.5-110BetMGM
Caesars3.5-1243.5-104Caesars
DraftKings3.5-1203.5-105DraftKings
FanDuel3.5-1153.5-105FanDuel

Full market: 29 sportsbooks, consensus 3.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: POR @ AUS Total Goals (Over/Under)

The Portland Timbers at Austin FC total opened at 3.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 3.5 across 31 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:29 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 11:21 AM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Over by a median of 4.1% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Portland Timbers at Austin FC total.

Across the 29 sportsbooks currently quoting the Portland Timbers at Austin FC total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 25-book consensus prices Over at 3.5 -105 (51.1% vig-free probability) and Under at 3.5 +105 (48.9% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 3.5 -115 at FanDuel; Under 3.5 -104 at Caesars.

In the SOCCER game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 31 times, tied 12, and lost 28 season to date (71 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

SOCCER Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (31 Beat, 12 Tied, 28 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date3112287152.5%
Last 30 days309256454.5%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Portland Timbers at Austin FC (Total Goals (Over/Under)) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/soccer/portland-timbers-at-austin-fc-total-2026-11-07-34184" title="Portland Timbers at Austin FC Total Goals (Over/Under) Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/soccer/portland-timbers-at-austin-fc-total-2026-11-07-34184">POR @ AUS Total Goals (Over/Under) Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>