Soccer · Total Goals (Over/Under)Market MovementKickoff Market UpdateES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

St Louis City SC at Houston Dynamo: Total Goals (Over/Under) Odds & Vig-Free Fair Value

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 29 books
2.5 (29 consensus books · 29 tracked)
Market Move
2.5 to 2.5 (flat since open)
Lane CLV record
SOCCER game totals: 31 Beat / 12 Tied / 28 Lost (71 measured)

Why is the STL @ HOU total Goals (Over/Under) moving?

  • Market consensus updated (3.5% implied probability) toward Under across 9 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 0.0 goals toward Under across 18 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 2.5 -116 (53.8% across 29 books)
Best price: 2.5 -120 at FanDuel
Under
Vig-free consensus 2.5 +116 (46.2% across 29 books)
Best price: 2.5 +105 at Caesars

STL @ HOU Total Goals (Over/Under) Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM2.5-1352.5-105BetMGM
Caesars2.5-1342.5+105Caesars
DraftKings2.5-1252.5+100DraftKings
FanDuel2.5-1202.5-102FanDuel

Full market: 29 sportsbooks, consensus 2.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: STL @ HOU Total Goals (Over/Under)

The St Louis City SC at Houston Dynamo total opened at 2.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 2.5 across 31 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:27 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 1:00 PM CT, 9 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 3.5% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the St Louis City SC at Houston Dynamo total.

As of Sat, Nov 7, 1:05 PM CT, vig-free implied probability has shifted +3.3% toward Under across 18 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 0.0 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

Across the 29 sportsbooks currently quoting the St Louis City SC at Houston Dynamo total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 0.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 29-book consensus prices Over at 2.5 -116 (53.8% vig-free probability) and Under at 2.5 +116 (46.2% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 2.5 -120 at FanDuel; Under 2.5 +105 at Caesars.

In the SOCCER game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 31 times, tied 12, and lost 28 season to date (71 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

SOCCER Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (31 Beat, 12 Tied, 28 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date3112287152.5%
Last 30 days309256454.5%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for St Louis City SC at Houston Dynamo (Total Goals (Over/Under)) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/soccer/st-louis-city-sc-at-houston-dynamo-total-2026-11-07-34187" title="St Louis City SC at Houston Dynamo Total Goals (Over/Under) Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/soccer/st-louis-city-sc-at-houston-dynamo-total-2026-11-07-34187">STL @ HOU Total Goals (Over/Under) Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>