Soccer · Home Team Total GoalsMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: Under 1.5 → 0.5 (-1.0 goals)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Monaco at Le Mans: Home Team Total Goals Odds & Vig-Free Fair Value

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 8 books
0.5 (5 consensus books · 8 tracked)
Market Move
1.5 to 0.5 (1.0 goal toward Under)
Lane CLV record
SOCCER team totals: 40 Beat / 3 Tied / 30 Lost (73 measured)

Why is the MON @ LEM Home Team Total Goals moving?

  • Market consensus updated (4.1% implied probability) toward Under across 5 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 0.0 goals toward Under across 8 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 0.5 -160 (61.6% across 5 books)
Best price: 0.5 -190 at BetMGM
Under
Vig-free consensus 0.5 +160 (38.4% across 5 books)
Best price: 1.5 -359 at DraftKings

MON @ LEM Home Team Total Goals Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM0.5-1900.5+138BetMGM
DraftKings1.5+2551.5-359DraftKings
FanDuel0.5-1960.5+148FanDuel

Full market: 8 sportsbooks, consensus 0.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: MON @ LEM Home Team Total Goals

The Monaco at Le Mans Le Mans team total opened at 1.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 2, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 0.5 across 8 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 10:15 AM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 12:34 AM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 10:45 PM CT, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 4.1% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Monaco at Le Mans Le Mans team total.

As of Sat, Nov 7, 10:45 PM CT, vig-free implied probability has shifted +3.6% toward Under across 8 tracked sportsbooks, accompanied by a 0.0 pts median line adjustment. Sustained directional repricing across the consensus board highlights ongoing market adjustment ahead of kickoff.

Across the 8 sportsbooks currently quoting the Monaco at Le Mans Le Mans team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 1.0 pt, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 5-book consensus prices Over at 0.5 -160 (61.6% vig-free probability) and Under at 0.5 +160 (38.4% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 0.5 -190 at BetMGM; Under 1.5 -359 at DraftKings.

In the SOCCER team totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 40 times, tied 3, and lost 30 season to date (73 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

SOCCER Team Totals Closing-Line Value Record (40 Beat, 3 Tied, 30 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date403307357.1%
Last 30 days393236562.9%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Monaco at Le Mans (Home Team Total Goals) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/soccer/monaco-at-le-mans-home-team-total-2026-11-08-33236" title="Monaco at Le Mans Home Team Total Goals Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/soccer/monaco-at-le-mans-home-team-total-2026-11-08-33236">MON @ LEM Home Team Total Goals Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>