Soccer · Total Goals (Over/Under)Market MovementKickoff Market UpdateES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Juventus at Fiorentina: Total Goals (Over/Under) Odds & Vig-Free Fair Value

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 28 books
2.5 (28 consensus books · 28 tracked)
Market Move
2.5 to 2.5 (flat since open)
Lane CLV record
SOCCER game totals: 37 Beat / 12 Tied / 31 Lost (80 measured)

Why is the JUV @ FIO total Goals (Over/Under) moving?

  • Market consensus updated (3.3% implied probability) toward Under across 5 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 2.5 -106 (51.4% across 28 books)
Best price: 2.5 -110 at DraftKings
Under
Vig-free consensus 2.5 +106 (48.6% across 28 books)
Best price: 2.5 +104 at FanDuel

JUV @ FIO Total Goals (Over/Under) Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM2.5-1252.5-110BetMGM
DraftKings2.5-1102.5-115DraftKings
FanDuel2.5-1202.5+104FanDuel

Full market: 28 sportsbooks, consensus 2.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: JUV @ FIO Total Goals (Over/Under)

The Juventus at Fiorentina total opened at 2.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Mon, Nov 2, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 2.5 across 28 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sun, Nov 8, 1:45 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sun, Nov 8, 6:38 AM CT.

At Sun, Nov 8, 4:47 AM CT, 5 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 3.3% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Juventus at Fiorentina total.

Across the 28 sportsbooks currently quoting the Juventus at Fiorentina total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 0.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 28-book consensus prices Over at 2.5 -106 (51.4% vig-free probability) and Under at 2.5 +106 (48.6% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 2.5 -110 at DraftKings; Under 2.5 +104 at FanDuel.

In the SOCCER game totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 37 times, tied 12, and lost 31 season to date (80 graded releases through 2026-11-07). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

SOCCER Game Totals Closing-Line Value Record (37 Beat, 12 Tied, 31 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date3712318054.4%
Last 30 days369287356.3%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Juventus at Fiorentina (Total Goals (Over/Under)) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/soccer/juventus-at-fiorentina-total-2026-11-08-34214" title="Juventus at Fiorentina Total Goals (Over/Under) Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/soccer/juventus-at-fiorentina-total-2026-11-08-34214">JUV @ FIO Total Goals (Over/Under) Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>