Chivas Guadalajara at Club Leon: 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Odds & Vig-Free Fair Value
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 38 books
- CHI +118 / Empate (Draw) +285 / LEO +254 (38 consensus books · 38 tracked)
- Market Move
- CHI 33.3% to 30.7% (2.7% implied probability toward CHI)
- Lane CLV record
- SOCCER moneylines: 11 Beat / 2 Tied / 8 Lost (21 measured)
Why is the CHI @ LEO 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) moving?
- Market consensus updated (2.9% implied probability) toward CHI across 8 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
CHI @ LEO 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | CHI | Empate (Draw) | LEO | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +105 | +260 | +225 | BetMGM | |
| DraftKings | +105 | +265 | +235 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +100 | +260 | +240 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +105 | +260 | +230 | Fanatics |
Full market: 38 sportsbooks, consensus CHI +118 / Empate (Draw) +285 / LEO +254. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: CHI @ LEO 3-Way Moneyline (1X2)
Across 38 tracked sportsbooks, the CHI @ LEO 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) implied probability moved from 33.3% at open to 30.7% toward CHI (2.7% implied probability).
Best current licensed partner quotes: CHI +105 at BetMGM; Empate (Draw) +265 at DraftKings; LEO +240 at FanDuel. Quoting books currently span 7.5% implied probability across the market.
Three-way (1X2) vig-free consensus across 38 sportsbooks prices Chivas Guadalajara at Club Leon at CHI +118 (45.8% vig-free), Empate (Draw) +285 (26.0% vig-free), LEO +254 (28.2% vig-free). Each outcome probability is normalized across Away, Empate (Draw), and Home so total vig is removed before comparing against partner sportsbook payouts.
Recorded consensus updates prior to kickoff (Sun, Nov 8, 8:10 PM CT): Sun, Nov 8, 10:51 AM CT: Market consensus updated (2.9% implied probability) toward CHI across 8 tracked sportsbooks.
In the SOCCER moneylines lane (Season to date, through 2026-11-07), WagerBird's audited releases stand at 11 beat, 2 tied, and 8 lost across 21 measured markets graded against the pre-kickoff closing price at the release book.
SOCCER Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (11 Beat, 2 Tied, 8 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 11 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 57.9% |
| Last 30 days | 11 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 61.1% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Chivas Guadalajara at Club Leon (3-Way Moneyline (1X2)) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/soccer/chivas-guadalajara-at-club-leon-3-way-moneyline-2026-11-08-34272" title="Chivas Guadalajara at Club Leon 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/soccer/chivas-guadalajara-at-club-leon-3-way-moneyline-2026-11-08-34272">CHI @ LEO 3-Way Moneyline (1X2) Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>