NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: SEAPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 6 games)

Vince Dunn (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost
Vince Dunn Releases: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 20 to Nov 4), sportsbooks adjusted Vince Dunn's posted shots on goal line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 2.5 to 1.5 (-1.0).3.52.92.31.71.10.52.51.52.52.52.51.5Oct 20DET @ SEAOct 22UTA @ SEAOct 24MIN @ SEAOct 28TOR @ SEAOct 30SEA @ CGYNov 4CGY @ SEA

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 20 to Nov 4), sportsbooks adjusted Vince Dunn's posted shots on goal line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 2.5 to 1.5 (-1.0).

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Vince Dunn)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
DET @ SEA2.5 (+120)—1Under
UTA @ SEA1.5 (-156)-1.01Under
MIN @ SEA2.5 (+140)+1.04Over
TOR @ SEA2.5 (+125)0.02Under
SEA @ CGY2.5 (+142)0.00Under
CGY @ SEAReduced-Role Line1.5 (-160)-1.04Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Vince Dunn Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.9).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.9Max Single-Game Book Step: +1.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
1.6
Actual Output Delta
-0.9
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Vince Dunn Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output501Oct 20vs DET1Oct 22vs UTA4Oct 24vs MIN2Oct 28vs TOR0Oct 30@ CGYNov 7vs NYR
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 20 · vs DET2.5—1-1.5
Oct 22 · vs UTA1.5-1.01-0.5
Oct 24 · vs MIN2.5+1.04+1.5
Oct 28 · vs TOR2.50.02-0.5
Oct 30 · @ CGY2.50.00-2.5
Nov 7 · vs NYR————
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Vince Dunn Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 1 Lost)

0 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Vince Dunn prop write-up.

Vince Dunn CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 1 Lost
1 Settled CLV Receipt
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 15SEA @ TBShots on GoalOver 1.5 (-138) · FanDuel1.51LostRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Vince Dunn Prop Write-Ups

Oct 15 CT · SEA @ TB · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Dunn's established point-shot volume and substantial defensive minutes support reaching a modest two-shot threshold.

Counter-Case: Tampa Bay's forwards can block Dunn's point shots before they become shots on goal. Long Seattle defensive stretches can also consume his minutes without providing the two clean attempts needed.

Vince Dunn WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Oct 15SEA @ TBShots on GoalOver 1.51.51Lost

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921