NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: WASPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Tom Wilson (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost
Tom Wilson Releases: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 7), Tom Wilson's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.2.52.11.71.30.90.51.51.51.51.51.51.5Oct 24BUF @ WASOct 28PHI @ WASOct 29WAS @ NASNov 1MIN @ WASNov 3DAL @ WASNov 7FLA @ WAS

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 7), Tom Wilson's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Tom Wilson)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
BUF @ WASReduced-Role Line1.5—3Over
PHI @ WAS1.5 (-160)0.01Under
WAS @ NAS1.50.03Over
MIN @ WAS1.5 (-165)0.02Over
DAL @ WAS1.5 (-150)0.01Under
FLA @ WAS1.5 (-155)0.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Tom Wilson Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.9).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.9Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
1.5
Current Posted Line
1.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
2.4
Actual Output Delta
+0.9
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Tom Wilson Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output605Oct 14vs MON1Oct 28vs PHI3Oct 29@ NAS2Nov 1vs MIN1Nov 3vs DALNov 7vs FLA
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 14 · vs MON——5—
Oct 28 · vs PHI1.5—1-0.5
Oct 29 · @ NAS1.50.03+1.5
Nov 1 · vs MIN1.50.02+0.5
Nov 3 · vs DAL1.50.01-0.5
Nov 7 · vs FLA1.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Tom Wilson Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Tom Wilson prop write-up.

Tom Wilson CLV Counts
1 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
1 Settled CLV Receipt
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 28PHI @ WASShots on GoalOver 1.5 (-160) · Fanatics1.51BeatRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Tom Wilson Prop Write-Ups

Oct 28 CT · PHI @ WAS · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Wilson's regular shooting volume and first-unit power-play access support reaching a modest two-shot requirement.

Counter-Case: Wilson can spend power-play possessions screening the goalie or retrieving the puck rather than taking the shot. His linemates may receive the clean shooting lanes while he works around the crease. Protecting a lead can further reduce his late offensive opportunities.

Tom Wilson WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Oct 28PHI @ WASShots on GoalOver 1.51.51Beat

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921