NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: NYIPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Simon Holmstrom (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost
Simon Holmstrom Releases: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 7), Simon Holmstrom's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.2.52.11.71.30.90.51.51.51.51.51.51.5Oct 25NYI @ DALOct 27NYI @ NASOct 29NYI @ MINOct 31EDM @ NYINov 5CAR @ NYINov 7NJ @ NYI

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 25 to Nov 7), Simon Holmstrom's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Simon Holmstrom)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
NYI @ DAL1.5 (+122)—1Under
NYI @ NAS1.5 (-120)0.03Over
NYI @ MIN1.5 (+110)0.02Over
EDM @ NYI1.5 (-115)0.03Over
CAR @ NYI1.5 (+105)0.02Over
NJ @ NYI1.5 (-110)0.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Simon Holmstrom Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.7).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.7Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
1.5
Current Posted Line
1.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
2.2
Actual Output Delta
+0.7
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Simon Holmstrom Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output401Oct 25@ DAL3Oct 27@ NAS2Oct 29@ MIN3Oct 31vs EDM2Nov 5vs CARNov 7vs NJ
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 25 · @ DAL1.5—1-0.5
Oct 27 · @ NAS1.50.03+1.5
Oct 29 · @ MIN1.50.02+0.5
Oct 31 · vs EDM1.50.03+1.5
Nov 5 · vs CAR1.50.02+0.5
Nov 7 · vs NJ1.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Simon Holmstrom Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Simon Holmstrom prop write-up.

Simon Holmstrom CLV Counts
1 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
1 Settled CLV Receipt
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 22LA @ NYIShots on GoalUnder 1.5 (-120) · DraftKings1.53BeatRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Simon Holmstrom Prop Write-Ups

Oct 22 CT · LA @ NYI · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Holmstrom’s low personal shooting volume can persist even when his line creates offense.

Counter-Case: Clean slot receptions from Horvat could produce quick attempts without an unusually long shift. First-unit power-play possession can then provide another shot after a rebound or a recovered clearance.

Simon Holmstrom WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Oct 22LA @ NYIShots on GoalUnder 1.51.53Beat

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921