NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: WASPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Ryan Leonard (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Ryan Leonard Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Wed, Oct 28, 6:30 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 10:58 AM CT

NHL Player Props CLV Counts

50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Ryan Leonard Releases: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 20 to Nov 3), Ryan Leonard's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Ryan Leonard)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 20	LA @ WAS	1.5 (-160)	—	2	Over
Oct 24	BUF @ WAS	1.5 (-160)	0.0	3	Over
Oct 28	PHI @ WAS	1.5 (-180)	0.0	4	Over
Oct 29	WAS @ NAS	1.5 (-165)	0.0	3	Over
Nov 1	MIN @ WAS	2.5 (+138)	+1.0	3	Over
Nov 3	DAL @ WAS	1.5 (-165)	-1.0	2	Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

Ryan Leonard Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +1.5 vs. 0.0 book step adjustment (+1.5 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+1.5Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0

Window Open Line: 1.5
Current Posted Line: 1.5
Book Cumulative Step: 0.0
Actual Window Avg: 3.0
Actual Output Delta: +1.5
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 24 · vs BUF	1.5	—	3	+1.5
Oct 28 · vs PHI	1.5	0.0	4	+2.5
Oct 29 · @ NAS	1.5	0.0	3	+1.5
Nov 1 · vs MIN	2.5	+1.0	3	+0.5
Nov 3 · vs DAL	1.5	-1.0	2	+0.5
Nov 7 · vs FLA	—	—	—	—

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Ryan Leonard Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Ryan Leonard prop write-up.

Ryan Leonard CLV Counts

1 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost

1 Settled CLV Receipt

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release Quote	Closing Line	Actual	CLV Grade	Write-Up
Oct 28	PHI @ WAS	Shots on Goal	Over 1.5 (-150) · Fanatics	1.5	4	Beat	Read Write-Up →

Archived Settled Ryan Leonard Prop Write-Ups

Oct 28 CT · PHI @ WAS · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Leonard's established shooting rate and additional power-play access give him multiple routes to the required second shot.

Counter-Case: A quiet opening stretch can be difficult to recover from when his even-strength group receives limited shifts. Few penalties can leave the reserve power-play group without enough time to generate additional attempts. A lead can also turn later possessions into shorter, lower-pressure attacks.

Ryan Leonard WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release	Close	Actual	CLV Grade
Oct 28	PHI @ WAS	Shots on Goal	Over 1.5	1.5	4	Beat

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	50	10	21
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	48	9	21