NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: MINPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Quinn Hughes (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost
Active Release Tonight · TB @ MIN ()
Quinn Hughes Shots on Goal: Posted 2.5 · Free Pick OVER
Open Tonight's Prop Dossier →

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game vs. WagerBird Modeled Fair Line.

Posted Book Line WagerBird Fair (2.8 / -113)
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 7), Quinn Hughes's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5. WagerBird's modeled fair line for TB @ MIN is 2.8 (-113).4.03.53.02.52.01.5WB FAIR LINE: 2.82.52.52.52.52.52.5Oct 27MIN @ UTAOct 29NYI @ MINNov 1MIN @ WASNov 3MIN @ PHINov 6SJ @ MINNov 7TB @ MIN

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 7), Quinn Hughes's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5. WagerBird's modeled fair line for TB @ MIN is 2.8 (-113).

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Quinn Hughes)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
MIN @ UTA2.5 (+132)—2Under
NYI @ MIN2.5 (+115)0.04Over
MIN @ WAS2.5 (+110)0.03Over
MIN @ PHI2.5 (+120)0.01Under
SJ @ MIN2.5 (-110)0.02Under
TB @ MIN2.5 (+120)0.0—Fair 2.8

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Quinn Hughes Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.1).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.1Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
2.4
Actual Output Delta
-0.1
Modeled Fair Value
2.8 (-113)
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Quinn Hughes Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output502Oct 27@ UTA4Oct 29vs NYI3Nov 1@ WAS1Nov 3@ PHI2Nov 6vs SJNov 7vs TB
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 27 · @ UTA2.5—2-0.5
Oct 29 · vs NYI2.50.04+1.5
Nov 1 · @ WAS2.50.03+0.5
Nov 3 · @ PHI2.50.01-1.5
Nov 6 · vs SJ2.50.02-0.5
Nov 7 · vs TB2.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Quinn Hughes Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 active Quinn Hughes prop write-up tracked awaiting closing line settlement.

Quinn Hughes CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Nov 7TB @ MINShots on GoalOver 2.5 (+105) · Fanatics2.5——Read Write-Up →

Quinn Hughes WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Nov 7TB @ MINShots on GoalOver 2.52.5——

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921