NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: PHIPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Owen Tippett (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
51 Beat · 11 Tied · 23 Lost
Owen Tippett Releases: 1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 13 to Nov 8), Owen Tippett's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.3.52.92.31.71.10.52.52.52.52.51.52.5Oct 13SEA @ PHIOct 15PHI @ DETOct 17OTT @ PHINov 1UTA @ PHINov 5PHI @ NYRNov 8PHI @ CGY

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 13 to Nov 8), Owen Tippett's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Owen Tippett)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
SEA @ PHI2.5 (-110)—1Under
PHI @ DET2.5 (-105)0.01Under
OTT @ PHI2.5 (+110)0.0——
UTA @ PHI2.5 (+145)0.01Under
PHI @ NYRReduced-Role Line(Missed 1g)1.5-1.04Over
PHI @ CGY2.5 (+130)+1.0—Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production6-Game Window

Owen Tippett Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted 0.0 vs. -1.2 actual output delta (-1.2 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-1.2Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
2.5
Current Posted Line
2.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
1.3
Actual Output Delta
-1.2
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Owen Tippett Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output301Oct 13vs SEA1Oct 15@ DETOct 17vs OTT1Nov 1vs UTA2Nov 3vs MINNov 8@ CGY
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 13 · vs SEA2.5—1-1.5
Oct 15 · @ DET2.50.01-1.5
Oct 17 · vs OTT2.50.0——
Nov 1 · vs UTA2.50.01-1.5
Nov 3 · vs MIN——2—
Nov 8 · @ CGY2.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Owen Tippett Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Owen Tippett prop write-up.

Owen Tippett CLV Counts
1 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
1 Settled CLV Receipt
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 15PHI @ DETShots on GoalOver 2.5 (+110) · FanDuel2.51BeatRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Owen Tippett Prop Write-Ups

Oct 15 CT · PHI @ DET · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Tippett's established shooting volume and first-unit power-play access give him multiple routes to three shots.

Counter-Case: Detroit can force Tippett into blocked attempts by denying clean entries and keeping him outside the slot. Extended Philadelphia defensive shifts can leave him with only two official shots even if he receives his usual attacking assignments.

Owen Tippett WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Oct 15PHI @ DETShots on GoalOver 2.52.51Beat

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (51 Beat, 11 Tied, 23 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 7 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)511123
Last 30 days (from Oct 9 CT)45923