NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: SJPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Macklin Celebrini (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Macklin Celebrini Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Mon, Oct 19, 6:30 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 10:57 AM CT

NHL Player Props CLV Counts

50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Macklin Celebrini Releases: 0 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 29 to Nov 7), Macklin Celebrini's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 3.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Macklin Celebrini)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 29	VAN @ SJ	3.5 (-120)	—	6	Over
Oct 31	OTT @ SJ	3.5 (+114)	0.0	2	Under
Nov 2	CGY @ SJ	3.5 (-118)	0.0	2	Under
Nov 4	SJ @ LA	3.5 (+116)	0.0	5	Over
Nov 6	SJ @ MIN	3.5 (+125)	0.0	6	Over
Nov 7	SJ @ DAL	3.5 (+130)	0.0	—	Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Macklin Celebrini Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.7).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.7Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0

Window Open Line: 3.5
Current Posted Line: 3.5
Book Cumulative Step: 0.0
Actual Window Avg: 4.2
Actual Output Delta: +0.7
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 29 · vs VAN	3.5	—	6	+2.5
Oct 31 · vs OTT	3.5	0.0	2	-1.5
Nov 2 · vs CGY	3.5	0.0	2	-1.5
Nov 4 · @ LA	3.5	0.0	5	+1.5
Nov 6 · @ MIN	3.5	0.0	6	+2.5
Nov 7 · @ DAL	3.5	0.0	—	—

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Macklin Celebrini Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 1 Tied, 0 Lost)

0 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Macklin Celebrini prop write-up.

Macklin Celebrini CLV Counts

0 Beat · 1 Tied · 0 Lost

1 Settled CLV Receipt

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release Quote	Closing Line	Actual	CLV Grade	Write-Up
Oct 19	SJ @ TOR	Shots on Goal	Over 3.5 (-115) · Fanatics	3.5	5	Tied	Read Write-Up →

Archived Settled Macklin Celebrini Prop Write-Ups

Oct 19 CT · SJ @ TOR · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

Celebrini's heavy workload and established shot generation support a high-volume night without requiring unusually efficient finishing.

Counter-Case: Toronto can force Celebrini to pass on entries and deny his preferred shooting lane. If the Sharks spend extended shifts defending, even his heavy workload can finish with too few clean releases.

Macklin Celebrini WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release	Close	Actual	CLV Grade
Oct 19	SJ @ TOR	Shots on Goal	Over 3.5	3.5	5	Tied

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	50	10	21
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	48	9	21