NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: VANPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Jake DeBrusk (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

Name: Jake DeBrusk Historical Sportsbook Posted Prop Line Trajectory & CLV Ledger
Creator: WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released Tue, Oct 13, 6:45 PM CT · Last updated (CT) Sat, Nov 7, 10:57 AM CT

NHL Player Props CLV Counts

50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost

Jake DeBrusk Releases: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 7), Jake DeBrusk's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Jake DeBrusk)

America/Chicago (CT)

Date (CT)	Matchup	Posted Line	Move	Actual	Result
Oct 27	VAN @ ANA	2.5 (+128)	—	3	Over
Oct 29	VAN @ SJ	2.5 (+130)	0.0	2	Under
Oct 31	TOR @ VAN	2.5 (+100)	0.0	3	Over
Nov 3	ANA @ VAN	2.5 (+105)	0.0	3	Over
Nov 5	VAN @ WPG	2.5 (+135)	0.0	1	Under
Nov 7	VAN @ EDM	2.5 (+101)	0.0	—	Upcoming

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Jake DeBrusk Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (-0.1).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-0.1Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0

Window Open Line: 2.5
Current Posted Line: 2.5
Book Cumulative Step: 0.0
Actual Window Avg: 2.4
Actual Output Delta: -0.1
Modeled Fair Value: —

Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output

Book Line Actual Stat

Game (CT)	Posted Line	Book Step	Actual	Box Surplus
Oct 27 · @ ANA	2.5	—	3	+0.5
Oct 29 · @ SJ	2.5	0.0	2	-0.5
Oct 31 · vs TOR	2.5	0.0	3	+0.5
Nov 3 · vs ANA	2.5	0.0	3	+0.5
Nov 5 · @ WPG	2.5	0.0	1	-1.5
Nov 7 · @ EDM	2.5	0.0	—	—

Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Jake DeBrusk Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 1 Lost)

0 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Jake DeBrusk prop write-up.

Jake DeBrusk CLV Counts

0 Beat · 0 Tied · 1 Lost

1 Settled CLV Receipt

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release Quote	Closing Line	Actual	CLV Grade	Write-Up
Oct 13	VAN @ NYI	Shots on Goal	Over 2.5 (+100) · FanDuel	2.5	2	Lost	Read Write-Up →

Archived Settled Jake DeBrusk Prop Write-Ups

Oct 13 CT · VAN @ NYI · Shots on GoalFull Write-Up →

DeBrusk’s top-line and first-power-play assignments preserve a path to three shots even in a low-scoring Vancouver game.

Counter-Case: The Islanders can deny Vancouver offensive-zone possession and steer DeBrusk away from shooting positions. A reduced even-strength shift load would make him too dependent on power-play opportunities to reach three shots.

Jake DeBrusk WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)	Matchup	Market	Release	Close	Actual	CLV Grade
Oct 13	VAN @ NYI	Shots on Goal	Over 2.5	2.5	2	Lost

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Prop Lane Window	Beat Close	Tied Close	Lost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)	50	10	21
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)	48	9	21