Cole Perfetti (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 27 to Nov 5), Cole Perfetti's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 2.5.
6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Cole Perfetti)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA @ WPG | 2.5 (+125) | — | 3 | Over | |
| WPG @ TB | 2.5 (+130) | 0.0 | 3 | Over | |
| WPG @ FLA | 2.5 (+145) | 0.0 | 2 | Under | |
| WPG @ CARReduced-Role Line | 1.5 | -1.0 | 3 | Over | |
| WPG @ MON | 2.5 (+128) | +1.0 | 6 | Over | |
| VAN @ WPG | 2.5 (+105) | 0.0 | 2 | Under |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Cole Perfetti Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.8).
- Window Open Line
- 2.5
- Current Posted Line
- 2.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- 0.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 3.3
- Actual Output Delta
- +0.8
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 · vs MON | 2.5 | — | 4 | +1.5 |
| Oct 27 · vs FLA | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Oct 29 · @ TB | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ FLA | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Nov 3 · @ MON | 2.5 | 0.0 | 6 | +3.5 |
| Nov 5 · vs VAN | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2 | -0.5 |
Cole Perfetti Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
2 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 2 settled Cole Perfetti prop write-ups.
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release Quote | Closing Line | Actual | CLV Grade | Write-Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | WPG @ MON | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 (+139) · Caesars | 2.5 | 6 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
| Oct 22 | WPG @ DAL | Shots on Goal | Over 1.5 (-164) · FanDuel | 2.5 | 2 | Beat | Read Write-Up → |
Archived Settled Cole Perfetti Prop Write-Ups
Perfetti's expanded ice time and repeatable shot frequency support 3 shots without requiring Winnipeg to score heavily.
Counter-Case: Montreal can force Winnipeg to defend for long stretches and leave the scoring line with fewer settled possessions. If the power play routes its shots through the other flank, Perfetti can finish with two shots on goal despite regular minutes.
Perfetti's increased playing time and access to the primary scoring group support the two shots needed to cash.
Counter-Case: Perfetti can become the distributor while Connor and Scheifele take the final releases. If Dallas forces that line to spend extended shifts defending, his ice time can remain intact without producing the second shot.
Cole Perfetti WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | WPG @ MON | Shots on Goal | Over 2.5 | 2.5 | 6 | Beat |
| Oct 22 | WPG @ DAL | Shots on Goal | Over 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | Beat |
NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 50 | 10 | 21 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT) | 48 | 9 | 21 |