NHL Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: PHIPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 6 games)

Christian Dvorak (NHL) Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NHL Player Props CLV Counts
50 Beat · 10 Tied · 21 Lost
Christian Dvorak Releases: 0 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Shots on Goal Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted shots on goal total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 5), Christian Dvorak's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.2.52.11.71.30.90.51.51.51.51.51.51.5Oct 24ANA @ PHIOct 27CBJ @ PHIOct 28PHI @ WASNov 1UTA @ PHINov 3MIN @ PHINov 5PHI @ NYR

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 24 to Nov 5), Christian Dvorak's posted shots on goal line has held net flat at 1.5.

6-Game Posted Shots on Goal Ledger (Christian Dvorak)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
ANA @ PHI1.5 (-105)—1Under
CBJ @ PHI1.5 (-115)0.04Over
PHI @ WAS1.5 (-105)0.01Under
UTA @ PHI1.5 (+115)0.01Under
MIN @ PHI1.5 (+115)0.03Over
PHI @ NYR1.5 (+112)0.01Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Balanced Pricing6-Game Window

Christian Dvorak Shots on Goal Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Book step adjustment (0.0) tracks actual window production (+0.3).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+0.3Max Single-Game Book Step: 0.0
Window Open Line
1.5
Current Posted Line
1.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
1.8
Actual Output Delta
+0.3
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Christian Dvorak Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Shots on Goal Line vs Actual Box-Score Output501Oct 24vs ANA4Oct 27vs CBJ1Oct 28@ WAS1Nov 1vs UTA3Nov 3vs MIN1Nov 5@ NYR
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 24 · vs ANA1.5—1-0.5
Oct 27 · vs CBJ1.50.04+2.5
Oct 28 · @ WAS1.50.01-0.5
Nov 1 · vs UTA1.50.01-0.5
Nov 3 · vs MIN1.50.03+1.5
Nov 5 · @ NYR1.50.01-0.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

Christian Dvorak Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 1 Tied, 0 Lost)

0 Beat / 1 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled Christian Dvorak prop write-up.

Christian Dvorak CLV Counts
0 Beat · 1 Tied · 0 Lost
1 Settled CLV Receipt
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 21PHI @ BUFPointsUnder 0.5 (-125) · BetMGM0.50TiedRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled Christian Dvorak Prop Write-Ups

Oct 21 CT · PHI @ BUF · PointsFull Write-Up →

Dvorak's current scoring involvement and absence from the first power-play group leave relatively few premium routes to a point.

Counter-Case: Zegras can create a clean chance that Dvorak finishes or helps set up. An Acciari conversion or late extra-attacker possession can also bring Dvorak into a scoring sequence without a large individual workload.

Christian Dvorak WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Oct 21PHI @ BUFPointsUnder 0.50.50Tied

NHL Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (50 Beat, 10 Tied, 21 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)501021
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)48921