Las Vegas Raiders at San Francisco 49ers Spread: Strength 75 Release & Red Team Analysis
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- Release Line / Price
- Strength 75 Release · Side & units locked until kickoff
- Current Consensus across 42 books
- LV +9.5 (29 consensus books · 42 tracked)
- Market Move
- SF -9.5 to -9.5 (flat since open)
- WagerBird Fair Line vs. Consensus Delta
- 4.5 pts delta vs LV +9.5 consensus
- Lane CLV record
- NFL spreads: 8 Beat / 3 Tied / 8 Lost (19 measured)
Red Team Risk Factors & Matchup Context
San Francisco can turn its efficient passing attack into touchdowns instead of field goals. A stalled Raiders rushing game would let the pass rush attack obvious passing downs. If the Raiders' heavier personnel cannot protect their cornerbacks, explosive completions can create separation quickly. A late turnover would then remove the possessions needed for a backdoor response.
Why is the LV @ SF spread moving?
- Market line moved 0.5 pts toward LV across 11 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
LV @ SF Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | LV | SF | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +9-105 | -9-105 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +9.5-113 | -9.5-106 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +8.5-108 | -8.5-112 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +9.5-110 | -9.5-110 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +9-110 | -9-110 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | +9.5-107 | -9.5+104 | ProphetX |
Full market: 42 sportsbooks, consensus LV +9.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Summary: LV @ SF Spread
Across 42 tracked sportsbooks, the LV @ SF spread moved from an opening number of SF -9.5 to SF -9.5.
Best current licensed partner quotes: LV +9.5 -107 at ProphetX; SF -8.5 -112 at DraftKings. Quoting books currently span 1.5 pts across the market.
NFL Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (8 Beat, 3 Tied, 8 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 8 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 50.0% |
| Last 30 days | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 46.7% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-07).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Las Vegas Raiders at San Francisco 49ers (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nfl/las-vegas-raiders-at-san-francisco-49ers-spread-2026-11-08-34263" title="Las Vegas Raiders at San Francisco 49ers Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nfl/las-vegas-raiders-at-san-francisco-49ers-spread-2026-11-08-34263">LV @ SF Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>