NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: MIAPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-3.0 over 6 games)

Tim Hardaway Jr. (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 21 to Nov 4), sportsbooks adjusted Tim Hardaway Jr.'s posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 9.5 to 6.5 (-3.0).10.59.58.57.56.55.59.58.58.57.58.56.5Oct 21MIN @ MIAOct 23DET @ MIAOct 26DAL @ MIAOct 28MIA @ ATLOct 30IND @ MIANov 4MIA @ LAC

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 21 to Nov 4), sportsbooks adjusted Tim Hardaway Jr.'s posted points line downward in 3 of 5 game-over-game steps from 9.5 to 6.5 (-3.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Tim Hardaway Jr.)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
MIN @ MIA9.5 (-110)—3Under
DET @ MIA8.5 (-115)-1.08Under
DAL @ MIA(Missed 1g)8.5 (+100)0.05Under
MIA @ ATL7.5 (-122)-1.014Over
IND @ MIA8.5 (+100)+1.02Under
MIA @ LAC(Missed 1g)6.5 (-128)-2.00Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production6-Game Window

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted -3.0 vs. -4.2 actual output delta (-1.2 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-1.2Max Single-Game Book Step: -2.0
Window Open Line
9.5
Current Posted Line
6.5
Book Cumulative Step
-3.0
Actual Window Avg
5.3
Actual Output Delta
-4.2
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Tim Hardaway Jr. Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output1803Oct 21vs MIN8Oct 23vs DET5Oct 26vs DAL14Oct 28@ ATL2Oct 30vs IND0Nov 4@ LAC
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 21 · vs MIN9.5—3-6.5
Oct 23 · vs DET8.5-1.08-0.5
Oct 26 · vs DAL8.50.05-3.5
Oct 28 · @ ATL7.5-1.014+6.5
Oct 30 · vs IND8.5+1.02-6.5
Nov 4 · @ LAC6.5-2.00-6.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Tim Hardaway Jr. Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Tim Hardaway Jr..

Tim Hardaway Jr. CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Tim Hardaway Jr..

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136