Ryan Kalkbrenner (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 9), sportsbooks adjusted Ryan Kalkbrenner's posted points line upward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 5.5 to 7.5 (+2.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Ryan Kalkbrenner)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAS @ CHA | 5.5 (-132) | — | 6 | Over | |
| CHA @ DET | 5.5 (-114) | 0.0 | 1 | Under | |
| CHA @ WAS | 5.5 (+100) | 0.0 | 2 | Under | |
| PHI @ CHA | 4.5 (-111) | -1.0 | 6 | Over | |
| BOS @ CHA(Missed 2g) | 6.5 (-102) | +2.0 | 4 | Under | |
| CLE @ CHA | 7.5 (+110) | +1.0 | 8 | Over |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Ryan Kalkbrenner Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Books adjusted +2.0 vs. -1.0 actual output delta (-3.0 Book Over-Adjustment).
- Window Open Line
- 5.5
- Current Posted Line
- 7.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- +2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 4.5
- Actual Output Delta
- -1.0
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 · vs WAS | 5.5 | — | 6 | +0.5 |
| Oct 28 · @ DET | 5.5 | 0.0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ WAS | 5.5 | 0.0 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Oct 31 · vs PHI | 4.5 | -1.0 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Nov 6 · vs BOS | 6.5 | +2.0 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Nov 9 · vs CLE | 7.5 | +1.0 | 8 | +0.5 |
Ryan Kalkbrenner Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Ryan Kalkbrenner.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Ryan Kalkbrenner.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (91 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 91 | 12 | 41 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 11 CT) | 91 | 12 | 41 |