Robert Williams III (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 29 to Nov 10), sportsbooks adjusted Robert Williams III's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 6.5 to 5.5 (-1.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Robert Williams III)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM @ POR | 6.5 (-110) | — | — | — | |
| POR @ UTA | 6.5 (-115) | 0.0 | 3 | Under | |
| POR @ DEN | 5.5 (-128) | -1.0 | 2 | Under | |
| POR @ PHX | 5.5 (-113) | 0.0 | 9 | Over | |
| POR @ LAL | 6.5 (-102) | +1.0 | 9 | Over | |
| OKC @ POR | 5.5 (-128) | -1.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Robert Williams III Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (-1.0) tracks actual window production (-0.7).
- Window Open Line
- 6.5
- Current Posted Line
- 5.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -1.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 5.8
- Actual Output Delta
- -0.7
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 · vs MEM | 6.5 | — | — | — |
| Oct 31 · @ UTA | 6.5 | 0.0 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Nov 2 · @ DEN | 5.5 | -1.0 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Nov 4 · @ PHX | 5.5 | 0.0 | 9 | +3.5 |
| Nov 6 · @ LAL | 6.5 | +1.0 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Nov 10 · vs OKC | 5.5 | -1.0 | — | — |
Robert Williams III Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Robert Williams III.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Robert Williams III.
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (91 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 91 | 12 | 41 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 11 CT) | 91 | 12 | 41 |