NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: DALPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 6 games)

P.J. Washington (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost
P.J. Washington Releases: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted P.J. Washington's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 14.5 to 13.5 (-1.0).16.515.514.513.512.511.514.513.513.515.512.513.5Oct 26DAL @ MIAOct 28OKC @ DALOct 30HOU @ DALNov 2SAC @ DALNov 4DAL @ SASNov 6UTA @ DAL

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 6), sportsbooks adjusted P.J. Washington's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 14.5 to 13.5 (-1.0).

6-Game Posted Points Ledger (P.J. Washington)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
DAL @ MIA14.5 (+103)—20Over
OKC @ DAL13.5 (-125)-1.018Over
HOU @ DAL13.5 (-105)0.03Under
SAC @ DAL15.5 (-102)+2.012Under
DAL @ SAS12.5 (-105)-3.021Over
UTA @ DAL13.5 (+105)+1.026Over

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Lagging Production6-Game Window

P.J. Washington Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Actual output +2.2 vs. -1.0 book step adjustment (+3.2 Unpriced Book Lag).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag+3.2Max Single-Game Book Step: -3.0
Window Open Line
14.5
Current Posted Line
13.5
Book Cumulative Step
-1.0
Actual Window Avg
16.7
Actual Output Delta
+2.2
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
P.J. Washington Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 6-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output32020Oct 26@ MIA18Oct 28vs OKC3Oct 30vs HOU12Nov 2vs SAC21Nov 4@ SAS26Nov 6vs UTA
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 26 · @ MIA14.5—20+5.5
Oct 28 · vs OKC13.5-1.018+4.5
Oct 30 · vs HOU13.50.03-10.5
Nov 2 · vs SAC15.5+2.012-3.5
Nov 4 · @ SAS12.5-3.021+8.5
Nov 6 · vs UTA13.5+1.026+12.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault1 Tracked Write-Up

P.J. Washington Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (1 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

1 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost closing line value record across 1 settled P.J. Washington prop write-up.

P.J. Washington CLV Counts
1 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
1 Settled CLV Receipt
Date (CT)MatchupMarketRelease QuoteClosing LineActualCLV GradeWrite-Up
Oct 30HOU @ DALPointsOver 13.5 (+105) · Fanatics13.53BeatRead Write-Up →

Archived Settled P.J. Washington Prop Write-Ups

Oct 30 CT · HOU @ DAL · PointsFull Write-Up →

Washington's expanded workload supports enough scoring without requiring an increase in his offensive role.

Counter-Case: Irving and Flagg can consume the scoring opportunities and leave Washington waiting for spot-up chances. If those jumpers miss, a modest team scoring night offers little room to recover.

P.J. Washington WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive

Date (CT)MatchupMarketReleaseCloseActualCLV Grade
Nov 2SAC @ DALReboundsOver 6.57.55Beat
Oct 30HOU @ DALPointsOver 13.513.53Beat

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136