Keaton Wagler (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 6 Active Games)
Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.
Trajectory Readout: Across the last 6 active games (Oct 28 to Nov 8), sportsbooks adjusted Keaton Wagler's posted points line downward in 2 of 5 game-over-game steps from 13.5 to 11.5 (-2.0).
6-Game Posted Points Ledger (Keaton Wagler)
America/Chicago (CT)| Date (CT) | Matchup | Posted Line | Move | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAL @ LAC | 13.5 (-108) | — | 21 | Over | |
| LAC @ MIN | 12.5 (-113) | -1.0 | 12 | Under | |
| LAC @ GSW | 13.5 (-105) | +1.0 | 7 | Under | |
| TOR @ LAC | 14.5 (+102) | +1.0 | 6 | Under | |
| MIA @ LAC | 11.5 (-111) | -3.0 | 11 | Under | |
| NOP @ LAC | 11.5 (-122) | 0.0 | — | Upcoming |
Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.
Keaton Wagler Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)
Book step adjustment (-2.0) tracks actual window production (-2.1).
- Window Open Line
- 13.5
- Current Posted Line
- 11.5
- Book Cumulative Step
- -2.0
- Actual Window Avg
- 11.4
- Actual Output Delta
- -2.1
- Modeled Fair Value
- —
| Game (CT) | Posted Line | Book Step | Actual | Box Surplus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 · vs LAL | 13.5 | — | 21 | +7.5 |
| Oct 30 · @ MIN | 12.5 | -1.0 | 12 | -0.5 |
| Nov 1 · @ GSW | 13.5 | +1.0 | 7 | -6.5 |
| Nov 2 · vs TOR | 14.5 | +1.0 | 6 | -8.5 |
| Nov 4 · vs MIA | 11.5 | -3.0 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Nov 8 · vs NOP | 11.5 | 0.0 | — | — |
Keaton Wagler Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)
No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Keaton Wagler.
No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Keaton Wagler.
Keaton Wagler WagerBird Prop Release & CLV Archive
| Date (CT) | Matchup | Market | Release | Close | Actual | CLV Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | LAC @ LAL | 3-Pointers Made | Over 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | Lost |
NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (75 Beat, 11 Tied, 39 Lost)
WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 7 CT).
| Prop Lane Window | Beat Close | Tied Close | Lost Close |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date (from Sep 23 CT) | 75 | 11 | 39 |
| Last 30 days (from Oct 9 CT) | 75 | 11 | 39 |