NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: OKCPosted Line Trajectory: Trending Down (-1.0 over 5 games)

Jaylin Williams (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
91 Beat · 12 Tied · 41 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 5 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 5 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 4), sportsbooks adjusted Jaylin Williams's posted points line downward in 1 of 4 game-over-game steps from 7.5 to 6.5 (-1.0).8.57.97.36.76.15.57.57.57.56.56.5Oct 26PHX @ OKCOct 28OKC @ DALOct 31OKC @ HOUNov 2OKC @ CLENov 4CLE @ OKC

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 5 active games (Oct 26 to Nov 4), sportsbooks adjusted Jaylin Williams's posted points line downward in 1 of 4 game-over-game steps from 7.5 to 6.5 (-1.0).

5-Game Posted Points Ledger (Jaylin Williams)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
PHX @ OKC7.5 (-115)—6Under
OKC @ DAL7.5 (-108)0.00Under
OKC @ HOU7.5 (+105)0.03Under
OKC @ CLE6.5 (-115)-1.03Under
CLE @ OKC6.5 (-115)0.0——

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production5-Game Window

Jaylin Williams Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted -1.0 vs. -4.5 actual output delta (-3.5 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-3.5Max Single-Game Book Step: -1.0
Window Open Line
7.5
Current Posted Line
6.5
Book Cumulative Step
-1.0
Actual Window Avg
3.0
Actual Output Delta
-4.5
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Jaylin Williams Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 5-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output1006Oct 26vs PHX0Oct 28@ DAL3Oct 31@ HOU3Nov 2@ CLENov 4vs CLE
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 26 · vs PHX7.5—6-1.5
Oct 28 · @ DAL7.50.00-7.5
Oct 31 · @ HOU7.50.03-4.5
Nov 2 · @ CLE6.5-1.03-3.5
Nov 4 · vs CLE6.50.0——
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Jaylin Williams Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Jaylin Williams.

Jaylin Williams CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Jaylin Williams.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (91 Beat, 12 Tied, 41 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 9 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)911241
Last 30 days (from Oct 11 CT)911241