NBA Player Prop & CLV DossierTeam: PORPosted Line Trajectory: Flat (0.0 over 4 games)

Ja Morant (NBA) Posted Points Line Trajectory & CLV Record

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

NBA Player Props CLV Counts
73 Beat · 11 Tied · 36 Lost

Sportsbook Posted Points Line Trajectory (Last 4 Active Games)

Pre-game sportsbook posted points total each game.

Posted Book Line
Across the last 4 active games (Oct 21 to Oct 29), Ja Morant's posted points line has held net flat at 18.5.19.518.517.516.515.514.518.517.515.518.5Oct 21PHX @ POROct 23POR @ SACOct 27POR @ LALOct 29MEM @ POR

Trajectory Readout: Across the last 4 active games (Oct 21 to Oct 29), Ja Morant's posted points line has held net flat at 18.5.

4-Game Posted Points Ledger (Ja Morant)

America/Chicago (CT)
Date (CT)MatchupPosted LineMoveActualResult
PHX @ POR18.5 (-105)—14Under
POR @ SAC17.5 (-110)-1.012Under
POR @ LAL15.5 (-120)-2.023Over
MEM @ POR18.5 (-115)+3.014Under

Canonical pre-game posted line from licensed partner sportsbooks. Missing or uncaptured feed values always render —.

Sticky Book Anchoring Meter · Book Ahead of Production4-Game Window

Ja Morant Points Sticky Book Anchoring Meter (Book Step-Lag vs. Actual Box-Score Surplus)

Books adjusted 0.0 vs. -2.7 actual output delta (-2.7 Book Over-Adjustment).

Unpriced Book Step-Lag-2.7Max Single-Game Book Step: +3.0
Window Open Line
18.5
Current Posted Line
18.5
Book Cumulative Step
0.0
Actual Window Avg
15.8
Actual Output Delta
-2.7
Modeled Fair Value
—
Posted Book Step Line vs. Box-Score Output
Book Line Actual Stat
Ja Morant Sticky Book Anchoring Meter: 4-game Posted Points Line vs Actual Box-Score Output26914Oct 21vs PHX12Oct 23@ SAC23Oct 27@ LAL14Oct 29vs MEM
Game (CT)Posted LineBook StepActualBox Surplus
Oct 21 · vs PHX18.5—14-4.5
Oct 23 · @ SAC17.5-1.012-5.5
Oct 27 · @ LAL15.5-2.023+7.5
Oct 29 · vs MEM18.5+3.014-4.5
Verified Player CLV & Write-Up Receipt Vault0 Tracked Write-Ups

Ja Morant Closing-Line Value & Prop Write-Up Receipt Vault (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

No archived prop write-ups recorded yet for Ja Morant.

Ja Morant CLV Counts
0 Beat · 0 Tied · 0 Lost
0 Settled CLV Receipts

No archived prop write-up receipts recorded yet for Ja Morant.

NBA Player Props Closing-Line Value Record (73 Beat, 11 Tied, 36 Lost)

WagerBird grades Closing-Line Value (CLV) by comparing each timestamped release line and price against the release sportsbook's final pre-game closing number (through Nov 6 CT).

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
Prop Lane WindowBeat CloseTied CloseLost Close
Season to date (from Sep 23 CT)731136
Last 30 days (from Oct 8 CT)731136