NBA · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: IND (+1.6% implied prob)ES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the IND @ DAL moneyline moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 52 books
IND +141 (52 consensus books · 52 tracked)
Market Move
DAL 63.0% to 61.4% (1.6% implied probability toward IND)
Lane CLV record
NBA moneylines: 2 Beat / 0 Tied / 1 Lost (3 measured)

Why is the IND @ DAL moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.1% implied probability) toward IND across 13 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

IND
Vig-free consensus +141 (41.5% across 52 books)
Best price: +136 at DraftKings
DAL
Vig-free consensus -141 (58.5% across 52 books)
Best price: -140 at ProphetX

IND @ DAL Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookINDDALUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+125-155BetMGM
Caesars+126-150Caesars
DraftKings+136-162DraftKings
FanDuel+132-156FanDuel
Fanatics+130-155Fanatics
ProphetX+134-140ProphetX

Full market: 52 sportsbooks, consensus IND +141. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: IND @ DAL Moneyline

The Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks moneyline opened at 63.0% implied probability for DAL on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 8, 11:00 PM CT) and currently sits at 61.4% implied probability for DAL across 52 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.6% implied probability, with net market movement toward IND. Scheduled kickoff is Mon, Nov 9, 7:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Mon, Nov 9, 2:28 AM CT.

At Mon, Nov 9, 1:24 AM CT, 13 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward IND by a median of 2.1% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks moneyline.

Across the 52 sportsbooks currently quoting the Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 6.2% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 52-book consensus prices IND at +141 (41.5% vig-free probability) and DAL at -141 (58.5% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: IND +136 at DraftKings; DAL -140 at ProphetX.

In the NBA moneylines betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 2 times, tied 0, and lost 1 season to date (3 graded releases through 2026-11-08). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

NBA Moneylines Closing-Line Value Record (2 Beat, 0 Tied, 1 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date201366.7%
Last 30 days201366.7%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-08).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks (Moneyline) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/nba/indiana-pacers-at-dallas-mavericks-moneyline-2026-11-09-34490" title="Indiana Pacers at Dallas Mavericks Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/nba/indiana-pacers-at-dallas-mavericks-moneyline-2026-11-09-34490">IND @ DAL Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>