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CFB · Home Team TotalMarket MovementKickoff

Troy Trojans @ South Alabama Jaguars Home Team Total Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 13 books
29.5 (8 consensus books · 13 tracked)
Market Move
29.5 to 29.5 (net flat since open; moved up to 1.0 pt intraday)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 33 · At close: 6 · Behind: 22 (61 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
TROY 42.2% · USA 57.8%
Consensus Spread
USA -3
Consensus Total
55.5
Market-Implied Score
TROY 26.3 – USA 29.3

Market Brief: TROY @ USA Home Team Total

Troy Trojans @ South Alabama Jaguars Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 29.5 -102 / Under 29.5 +102 across 8 consensus sportsbooks (13 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 12:15 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 28.5 -115 at FanDuel; Under 29.5 -105 at BetMGM.

The line is unchanged since open (29.5) across 13 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).

What is the TROY @ USA home team total consensus line and best price per side?

Troy Trojans @ South Alabama Jaguars Home Team Total: vig-free consensus stands at Over 29.5 -102 / Under 29.5 +102 across 8 consensus sportsbooks (13 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 12:15 AM ET). Best price per side: Over 28.5 -115 at FanDuel; Under 29.5 -105 at BetMGM.

How has the TROY @ USA home team total moved from open to current?

The line is unchanged since open (29.5) across 13 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for TROY @ USA home team total?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET).

Why is the TROY @ USA Home Team Total moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward Under across 4 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

Over
Vig-free consensus 29.5 -102 (50.4% across 8 books)
Best price: 28.5 -115 at FanDuel
Under
Vig-free consensus 29.5 +102 (49.6% across 8 books)
Best price: 29.5 -105 at BetMGM

TROY @ USA Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookOverUnderExecution
BetMGM29.5-11529.5-105BetMGM
Caesars29.5-11229.5-120Caesars
DraftKings29.5-11529.5-110DraftKings
FanDuel28.5-11528.5-111FanDuel
Fanatics29.5-12029.5-110Fanatics

Full market: 13 sportsbooks, consensus 29.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: TROY @ USA Home Team Total

The Troy Trojans at South Alabama Jaguars South Alabama Jaguars team total opened at 29.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 29.5 across 13 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 12:15 AM ET.

At Tue, Nov 10, 11:14 PM ET, 4 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward Under by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Troy Trojans at South Alabama Jaguars South Alabama Jaguars team total.

Across the 13 sportsbooks currently quoting the Troy Trojans at South Alabama Jaguars South Alabama Jaguars team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 8-book consensus prices Over at 29.5 -102 (50.4% vig-free probability) and Under at 29.5 +102 (49.5% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 28.5 -115 at FanDuel; Under 29.5 -105 at BetMGM.

In the CFB team totals betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. As a secondary entry-timing note against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 33 · At the close: 6 · Behind close: 22 (61 measured through 2026-11-09). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Team Totals Closing-Line Timing

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date3362261
Last 30 days101617

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-09). Of releases where the line moved, 60% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Troy Trojans at South Alabama Jaguars (Home Team Total) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/troy-trojans-at-south-alabama-jaguars-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27525" title="Troy Trojans at South Alabama Jaguars Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/troy-trojans-at-south-alabama-jaguars-home-team-total-2026-11-14-27525">TROY @ USA Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>