Why is the TXST @ ORST Home Team Total moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 13 books
- 38.5 (8 consensus books · 13 tracked)
- Market Move
- 39.5 to 38.5 (1.0 pt toward Under)
- Lane CLV record
- CFB team totals: 30 Beat / 6 Tied / 22 Lost (58 measured)
Why is the TXST @ ORST Home Team Total moving?
- Best available partner price toward Over 38.5: DraftKings (-105).
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
TXST @ ORST Home Team Total Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | Over | Under | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 38.5-102 | 38.5-115 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | 38.5-115 | 38.5-115 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | 38.5-105 | 38.5-125 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | 38.5-106 | 38.5-120 | FanDuel |
Full market: 13 sportsbooks, consensus 38.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: TXST @ ORST Home Team Total
The Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers Oregon State Beavers team total opened at 39.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 3, 4:00 AM CT) and currently sits at 38.5 across 15 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward Under. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 9:30 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 9:22 PM CT.
As of Sat, Nov 7, 9:01 PM CT, WagerBird Modeled Fair Value and vig-free consensus price Over 38.5 at 52.4% vig-free probability, reflecting a +3.7% Fair Value Edge relative to current partner sportsbook quotes, with the best available partner price currently at DraftKings (-105).
Across the 13 sportsbooks currently quoting the Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers Oregon State Beavers team total, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 8-book consensus prices Over at 38.5 +102 (49.5% vig-free probability) and Under at 38.5 -102 (50.5% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: Over 38.5 -102 at BetMGM; Under 38.5 -115 at BetMGM.
In the CFB team totals betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 30 times, tied 6, and lost 22 season to date (58 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB Team Totals Closing-Line Value Record (30 Beat, 6 Tied, 22 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 30 | 6 | 22 | 58 | 57.7% |
| Last 30 days | 10 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 55.6% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers (Home Team Total) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/texas-state-bobcats-at-oregon-state-beavers-home-team-total-2026-11-07-27447" title="Texas State Bobcats at Oregon State Beavers Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/texas-state-bobcats-at-oregon-state-beavers-home-team-total-2026-11-07-27447">TXST @ ORST Home Team Total Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>