CFB · SpreadKickoff Freeze · Game In ProgressES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Texas A&M Aggies at South Carolina Gamecocks: spread closing line and CLV

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

Release Line / Price
Point Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks -6.5 (-110) (-110) at DK ·
Current Consensus across 24 books
TA&M +2.5 (10 consensus books · 24 tracked)
Market Move
SC -7 to -6.5 (0.5 pts toward TA&M)
WagerBird Fair Line & Fair Price
-10 / -155
Lane CLV record
CFB spreads: 67 Beat / 11 Tied / 47 Lost (125 measured)

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

TA&M
Vig-free consensus +2.5 +102 (49.4% across 10 books)
Best price: +2.5 -105 at BetMGM
SC
Vig-free consensus -2.5 -102 (50.6% across 10 books)
Best price: -1.5 -105 at Fanatics

TA&M @ SC Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookTA&MSCUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+2.5-105-2.5-125BetMGM
Caesars+2.5-112-2.5-115Caesars
DraftKings+1.5-115-1.5-115DraftKings
FanDuel+2.5-112-2.5-118FanDuel
Fanatics+1.5-125-1.5-105Fanatics
ProphetX+2.5-105-2.5-149ProphetX

Full market: 24 sportsbooks, consensus TA&M +2.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Opening vs. Pre-Kickoff Closing Consensus

SC opened -7 and closed -6.5 (median of tracked sportsbooks).

Unlocked WagerBird Release & Closing-Line Value (CLV) Grade

  • Point Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks -6.5 (-110)
    Released -110 at DK, Sun, Nov 1, 10:02 AM CT · Fair line -10 · Fair price -155
    Beat the close (+2.1%)

CLV is graded against the pre-kickoff closing line and price at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released.

The WagerBird Brief: Point Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks -6.5 (-110)

Investment Committee Thesis

South Carolina's more efficient offense and dual-threat quarterback can sustain enough scoring possessions to build a decisive lead.

Fundamental Case (3 Drivers)

More sustainable drives
6.5 VS 5.1 YDS/PLAY · 47.79% VS 41.59% THIRD DOWN

On a consistent passing-attempts-plus-rushing-attempts denominator, South Carolina has produced 6.5 yards per play against Texas A&M's 5.1. The Gamecocks have also converted 47.79% of third downs, compared with 41.59% for the Aggies. That combination gives South Carolina a route to repeated first downs rather than needing every scoring possession to start with an explosive play.

Passing production gap
SELLERS 16 TD · 7 INT | REED 8 TD · 8 INT

The updated season totals put Sellers at 16 passing touchdowns and seven interceptions, versus eight and eight for Reed. South Carolina therefore enters with the stronger demonstrated passing scoring output. If that production carries into this matchup, it can build separation without relying entirely on its running backs.

Quarterback run assignment
603 QB RUSH YDS · 98 CARRIES

Sellers has 603 rushing yards on 98 carries this season. His rushing threat gives the defense an additional ball carrier to account for on designed runs and broken plays. Committing an extra defender to contain him can create receiving space, while insufficient containment leaves a route to extended drives.

Red Team Counter-Case & Risk Factors

Texas A&M can use its extra preparation time to improve protection and keep its offense on schedule. Reed can extend drives with his legs while avoiding the giveaways that have interrupted possessions. Sellers taking sacks or throwing interceptions would hand the Aggies short fields and prevent separation. A late Texas A&M touchdown could erase the required winning margin even if South Carolina controls most of the game.

CFB Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (67 Beat, 11 Tied, 47 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date67114712558.8%
Last 30 days549329562.8%

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Texas A&M Aggies at South Carolina Gamecocks (Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/texas-a-m-aggies-at-south-carolina-gamecocks-spread-2026-11-07-27434" title="Texas A&M Aggies at South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/texas-a-m-aggies-at-south-carolina-gamecocks-spread-2026-11-07-27434">TA&M @ SC Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>