CFB · 1st Quarter SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market UpdateES-MX: Momios Sin Vig

Why is the USA @ LOULAF 1st Quarter Spread moving?

Prices as of .

By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)

WagerBird Signal Status
- No Pick (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 21 books
USA +2.5 (15 consensus books · 21 tracked)
Market Move
LOULAF -2.5 to -2.5 (flat since open)
Lane CLV record
CFB first-quarter spreads: 0 Beat / 0 Tied / 0 Lost (0 measured)

Why is the USA @ LOULAF 1st Quarter Spread moving?

  • Market line moved 1.0 pt toward USA across 6 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

USA
Vig-free consensus +2.5 +102 (49.6% across 15 books)
Best price: +2.5 -105 at ProphetX
LOULAF
Vig-free consensus -2.5 -102 (50.4% across 15 books)
Best price: -1.5 -120 at Fanatics

USA @ LOULAF 1st Quarter Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookUSALOULAFUpdated (CT)Execution
BetMGM+2.5-110-2.5-115BetMGM
Caesars+2.5-112-2.5-118Caesars
DraftKings+2.5-115-2.5-115DraftKings
FanDuel+2.5-110-2.5-110FanDuel
Fanatics+1.5-110-1.5-120Fanatics
ProphetX+2.5-105-2.5-110ProphetX

Full market: 21 sportsbooks, consensus USA +2.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: USA @ LOULAF 1st Quarter Spread

The South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns first-quarter spread opened at LOULAF -2.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 5:00 PM CT) and currently sits at LOULAF -2.5 across 21 tracked sportsbooks, representing an unchanged median since the opening quote. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 4:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:29 PM CT.

At Sat, Nov 7, 10:20 AM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward USA by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns first-quarter spread.

Across the 21 sportsbooks currently quoting the South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns first-quarter spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 15-book consensus prices USA at +2.5 +102 (49.6% vig-free probability) and LOULAF at -2.5 -102 (50.4% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: USA +2.5 -105 at ProphetX; LOULAF -1.5 -120 at Fanatics.

WagerBird tracks closing-line value (Beat / Tied / Lost against the release sportsbook's closing number) across every CFB first-quarter spreads release; the full historical audit CSV is available for download below.

CFB First-Quarter Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (0 Beat, 0 Tied, 0 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasuredBeat %
Season to date0000-
Last 30 days0000-

WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

Preview Live Widget

Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (1st Quarter Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/south-alabama-jaguars-at-louisiana-lafayette-ragin-cajuns-1q-spread-2026-11-07-27462" title="South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns 1st Quarter Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/south-alabama-jaguars-at-louisiana-lafayette-ragin-cajuns-1q-spread-2026-11-07-27462">USA @ LOULAF 1st Quarter Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>