Why is the USA @ LOULAF 1st Half Spread moving?
Prices as of .
By WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (CT)
- WagerBird Signal Status
- - No Pick (Market Movement)
- Current Consensus across 24 books
- USA +4.5 (23 consensus books · 24 tracked)
- Market Move
- LOULAF -5.5 to -4.5 (1.0 pt toward USA)
- Lane CLV record
- CFB first-half spreads: 18 Beat / 5 Tied / 9 Lost (32 measured)
Why is the USA @ LOULAF 1st Half Spread moving?
- Market line moved 1.0 pt toward USA across 6 tracked sportsbooks.
Vig-free consensus and best partner price
USA @ LOULAF 1st Half Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks
| Sportsbook | USA | LOULAF | Updated (CT) | Execution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +4.5-112 | -4.5-105 | BetMGM | |
| Caesars | +4.5-108 | -4.5-114 | Caesars | |
| DraftKings | +4.5-110 | -4.5-110 | DraftKings | |
| FanDuel | +4.5-110 | -4.5-110 | FanDuel | |
| Fanatics | +4.5-115 | -4.5-115 | Fanatics | |
| ProphetX | +4.5-107 | -4.5-101 | ProphetX |
Full market: 24 sportsbooks, consensus USA +4.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.
Market Movement Analysis: USA @ LOULAF 1st Half Spread
The South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns first-half spread opened at LOULAF -5.5 on WagerBird's per-book price tape (first recorded Sun, Nov 1, 5:00 PM CT) and currently sits at LOULAF -4.5 across 24 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 1.0 pt, with net market movement toward USA. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 7, 4:00 PM CT, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Sat, Nov 7, 3:29 PM CT.
At Sat, Nov 7, 10:26 AM CT, 6 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward USA by a median of 1.0 pt. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns first-half spread.
Across the 24 sportsbooks currently quoting the South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns first-half spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 3.0 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.
Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 23-book consensus prices USA at +4.5 -101 (50.3% vig-free probability) and LOULAF at -4.5 +101 (49.7% vig-free probability).
Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: USA +4.5 -107 at ProphetX; LOULAF -4.5 -101 at ProphetX.
In the CFB first-half spreads betting lane, WagerBird's released plays have beaten the release book's closing line 18 times, tied 5, and lost 9 season to date (32 graded releases through 2026-11-06). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.
CFB First-Half Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (18 Beat, 5 Tied, 9 Lost)
Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)| Window | Beat | Tied | Lost | Measured | Beat % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season to date | 18 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 66.7% |
| Last 30 days | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 63.6% |
WagerBird measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each pick's release line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the pick was released (settled picks through 2026-11-06).
Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)
Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (1st Half Spread) attributed to WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):
<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/south-alabama-jaguars-at-louisiana-lafayette-ragin-cajuns-1h-spread-2026-11-07-27462" title="South Alabama Jaguars at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WagerBird" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/south-alabama-jaguars-at-louisiana-lafayette-ragin-cajuns-1h-spread-2026-11-07-27462">USA @ LOULAF 1st Half Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability</a> by WagerBird Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>