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CFB · MoneylineMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: BOIS (+2.5% implied prob)

Oregon State Beavers @ Boise State Broncos Moneyline Odds, Line Movement & Market Release (Nov 14)

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. · NJ DGE Vendor #0096475

Released · Updated

Desk Status
No Release · Market Movement Only
Current Consensus across 40 books
ORST +473 (40 consensus books · 40 tracked)
Market Move
BOIS 84.1% to 86.7% (2.5% implied probability toward BOIS)
Lane closing-line timing
Ahead: 19 · At close: 5 · Behind: 19 (43 measured)

Market-Implied Projection (Vig-Free Consensus)

Implied Win Probability
ORST 17.5% · BOIS 82.5%
Consensus Spread
BOIS -14.5
Consensus Total
65.5
Market-Implied Score
ORST 25.5 – BOIS 40

Market Brief: ORST @ BOIS Moneyline

Oregon State Beavers @ Boise State Broncos Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at ORST +473 / BOIS -473 across 40 consensus sportsbooks (40 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 10:46 PM ET). Best price per side: ORST +495 at ProphetX; BOIS -530 at ProphetX.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 84.1% to 86.7% toward BOIS (2.5% implied probability) across 42 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET).

What is the ORST @ BOIS moneyline consensus line and best price per side?

Oregon State Beavers @ Boise State Broncos Moneyline: vig-free consensus stands at ORST +473 / BOIS -473 across 40 consensus sportsbooks (40 total books tracked as of Wed, Nov 11, 10:46 PM ET). Best price per side: ORST +495 at ProphetX; BOIS -530 at ProphetX.

How has the ORST @ BOIS moneyline moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), implied probability moved from 84.1% to 86.7% toward BOIS (2.5% implied probability) across 42 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for ORST @ BOIS moneyline?

WAGERBIRD has no release on this market; this page tracks the pre-kickoff consensus movement (Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET).

Why is the ORST @ BOIS moneyline moving?

  • Market consensus updated (2.2% implied probability) toward BOIS across 17 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

ORST
Vig-free consensus +473 (17.5% across 40 books)
Best price: +495 at ProphetX
BOIS
Vig-free consensus -473 (82.5% across 40 books)
Best price: -530 at ProphetX

ORST @ BOIS Moneyline Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookORSTBOISExecution
BetMGM+475-625BetMGM
Caesars+450-625Caesars
DraftKings+440-600DraftKings
FanDuel+470-650FanDuel
Fanatics+440-600Fanatics
ProphetX+495-530ProphetX

Full market: 40 sportsbooks, consensus ORST +473. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: ORST @ BOIS Moneyline

The Oregon State Beavers at Boise State Broncos moneyline opened at 84.1% implied probability for BOIS on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at 86.7% implied probability for BOIS across 42 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 2.5% implied probability, with net market movement toward BOIS. Scheduled kickoff is Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Wed, Nov 11, 10:46 PM ET.

At Wed, Nov 11, 10:00 PM ET, 17 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward BOIS by a median of 2.2% implied probability. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Oregon State Beavers at Boise State Broncos moneyline.

Across the 40 sportsbooks currently quoting the Oregon State Beavers at Boise State Broncos moneyline, the top-to-bottom market spread is 10.6% implied probability, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 40-book consensus prices ORST at +473 (17.5% vig-free probability) and BOIS at -473 (82.5% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: ORST +495 at ProphetX; BOIS -530 at ProphetX.

In the CFB moneylines betting lane, every WAGERBIRD release is settled on the final score. Closing Line Value (CLV) against the release book's closing line: Ahead of close: 19 · At the close: 5 · Behind close: 19 (43 measured through 2026-11-10). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Moneylines Closing Line Value (CLV)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)

Lane Closing Line Value (CLV): 50.0% of moved lines ahead of close (19 Ahead of close · 5 At the close · 19 Behind close) · Sept 26–Nov 7

WindowAheadAt closeBehindMeasured
Season to date1951943
Last 30 days1521330

Every release is settled on the final score. Closing-line timing compares each release's line and price with the pre-kickoff closing number at the sportsbook where it was posted; it measures entry timing, not the result (settled releases through 2026-11-10). Of releases where the line moved, 50% finished ahead of the close.

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Oregon State Beavers at Boise State Broncos (Moneyline) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/oregon-state-beavers-at-boise-state-broncos-moneyline-2026-11-14-27511" title="Oregon State Beavers at Boise State Broncos Moneyline Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/oregon-state-beavers-at-boise-state-broncos-moneyline-2026-11-14-27511">ORST @ BOIS Moneyline Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>