CFB · SpreadMarket MovementKickoff Market Move: LAMON +10.5 → +10 (-0.5 pts)

Why is the LOULAF @ LAMON spread moving?

Prices as of .

By WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475) · Released · Last updated (ET)

WAGERBIRD Signal Status
- No Release (Market Movement)
Current Consensus across 38 books
LOULAF -10.5 (15 consensus books · 38 tracked)
Market Move
LAMON +10.5 to +10 (0.5 pts toward LAMON)
Lane CLV record
CFB spreads: 84 Beat / 11 Tied / 53 Lost (148 measured)

Market Brief: LOULAF @ LAMON Spread

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns @ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Spread: vig-free consensus stands at LOULAF -10.5 +102 / LAMON +10.5 -102 across 15 consensus sportsbooks (38 total books tracked as of Tue, Nov 10, 4:18 PM ET). Best price per side: LOULAF -9.5 -120 at FanDuel; LAMON +10.5 -110 at Caesars.

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from LAMON +10.5 to LAMON +10 (0.5 pts) across 40 sportsbooks. WAGERBIRD has no posted release on this market (- No Release); tracking pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET).

What is the LOULAF @ LAMON spread consensus line and best price per side?

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns @ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Spread: vig-free consensus stands at LOULAF -10.5 +102 / LAMON +10.5 -102 across 15 consensus sportsbooks (38 total books tracked as of Tue, Nov 10, 4:18 PM ET). Best price per side: LOULAF -9.5 -120 at FanDuel; LAMON +10.5 -110 at Caesars.

How has the LOULAF @ LAMON spread moved from open to current?

Since open (Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET), the line moved from LAMON +10.5 to LAMON +10 (0.5 pts) across 40 sportsbooks.

What is the locked release status for LOULAF @ LAMON spread?

WAGERBIRD has no posted release on this market (- No Release); tracking pre-kickoff consensus movement (Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET).

Why is the LOULAF @ LAMON spread moving?

  • Market consensus moved from LAMON +10.25 to LAMON +9.5 across 6 tracked sportsbooks.
  • Market line moved 0.5 pts toward LAMON across 11 tracked sportsbooks.

Vig-free consensus and best partner price

LOULAF
Vig-free consensus -10.5 +102 (49.5% across 15 books)
Best price: -9.5 -120 at FanDuel
LAMON
Vig-free consensus +10.5 -102 (50.5% across 15 books)
Best price: +10.5 -110 at Caesars

LOULAF @ LAMON Spread Odds Across Licensed Partner Sportsbooks

SportsbookLOULAFLAMONExecution
BetMGM-10-112+10-108BetMGM
Caesars-10.5-109+10.5-110Caesars
DraftKings-10.5-108+10.5-112DraftKings
FanDuel-9.5-120+9.5+100FanDuel
Fanatics-10.5-105+10.5-115Fanatics
ProphetX-9.5-125+9.5+107ProphetX

Full market: 38 sportsbooks, consensus LOULAF -10.5. Links shown for licensed books we work with.

Market Movement Analysis: LOULAF @ LAMON Spread

The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks spread opened at LAMON +10.5 on WAGERBIRD's per-book price tape (first recorded Tue, Nov 10, 7:15 AM ET) and currently sits at LAMON +10 across 40 tracked sportsbooks, representing a net move of 0.5 pts, with net market movement toward LAMON. Scheduled kickoff is Thu, Nov 12, 9:00 PM ET, and all live sportsbook quotes on this page are timestamped as of Tue, Nov 10, 4:18 PM ET.

At Tue, Nov 10, 3:29 PM ET, the market consensus moved through 10, shifting from LAMON +10.25 to LAMON +9.5 toward LAMON. Because final scoring margins and game totals frequently land on common scoring increments, moving across 10 materially alters the vig-free win probability for both sides of the number.

At Tue, Nov 10, 3:29 PM ET, 11 quoting sportsbooks adjusted this market in the same direction toward LAMON by a median of 0.5 pts. Broad repricing across multiple independent operators reflects consolidated market order flow and updated consensus pricing on the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks spread.

Across the 38 sportsbooks currently quoting the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks spread, the top-to-bottom market spread is 2.5 pts, creating measurable price dispersion for bettors comparing lines across licensed operators.

Stripping out sportsbook overround (vig), the 15-book consensus prices LOULAF at -10.5 +102 (49.5% vig-free probability) and LAMON at +10.5 -102 (50.5% vig-free probability).

Best execution prices among licensed partner sportsbooks right now: LOULAF -9.5 -120 at FanDuel; LAMON +10.5 -110 at Caesars.

In the CFB spreads betting lane, WAGERBIRD's released positions have beaten the release book's closing line 84 times, tied 11, and lost 53 season to date (148 graded releases through 2026-11-09). Every historical settled release can be verified in the downloadable CSV audit log below.

CFB Spreads Closing-Line Value Record (84 Beat, 11 Tied, 53 Lost)

Download Raw Signal Audit Log (.CSV)
WindowBeatTiedLostMeasured
Season to date841153148
Last 30 days5543190

WAGERBIRD measures closing-line value (CLV) by comparing each release's line and price against the pre-kickoff closing number at the exact sportsbook where the release was posted (settled releases through 2026-11-09).

Cite or Embed This Vig-Free Market Split (Media & Beat Writers)

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Embed live vig-free odds, implied probability split, and fair value telemetry for Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (Spread) attributed to WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475):

<iframe src="https://wagerbird.com/markets/embed/cfb/louisiana-lafayette-ragin-cajuns-at-louisiana-monroe-warhawks-spread-2026-11-12-27473" title="Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Spread Vig-Free Odds & Implied Probability | WAGERBIRD" width="100%" height="340" style="border:0;border-radius:6px;overflow:hidden;" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font-size:12px;margin-top:4px;">Source: <a href="https://wagerbird.com/markets/cfb/louisiana-lafayette-ragin-cajuns-at-louisiana-monroe-warhawks-spread-2026-11-12-27473">LOULAF @ LAMON Spread Vig-Free Odds &amp; Implied Probability</a> by WAGERBIRD® Quantitative Research Desk · SkyBurst Technology, Inc. (NJ DGE Vendor #0096475).</p>